+1
Yeah, I think the prediction I had above did okay. The thing about improvement by year's end was somewhat right: that's when the vaccines appeared, though it took a few more months for them to become widely available.
It has definitely been slower than I expected, almost entirely because of the prevalence of the variants, but that can only go on so long. The variants are, of course, both weaker and more infectious, and that means we're at the beginning of the end. You could make a good case a super infectious, much much weaker strain that infects almost everybody was always going to be the way this ended.