2018 Academy Awards

Final 2017 Oscar Predictions. Each section follows the same formula: first group is who I think will be nominated, in order of likelihood, then who I think has the best chance to upset, then the final group is who would be a surprise but not an entirely unexpected one. We’ll see early tomorrow morning how close this is.

BEST PICTURE
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Lady Bird
Dunkirk
Get Out
The Post
Call Me By Your Name
The Big Sick
The Florida Project

Serious Possibilities:
I, Tonya
Mudbound
Phantom Thread
Molly’s Game
Darkest Hour

Long Shots:
The Greatest Showman
The Disaster Artist
Wonder Woman
All the Money in the World
Blade Runner: 2049



BEST DIRECTOR
Guillermo Del Toro
Christopher Nolan
Martin McDonagh
Greta Gerwig
Jordan Peele

Serious Possibilities:
Luca Guadagnino
Steven Spielberg
Paul Thomas Anderson
Dee Rees
Sean Baker

Long shots:
Joe Wright
Patty Jenkins
Ridley Scott
Denis Villeneuve
Craig Gillespie


BEST ACTOR
Gary Oldman
Timothee Chalamet
Daniel Day-Lewis
Daniel Kaluuya
James Franco

Tom Hanks
Jake Gyllenhaal
Robert Pattinson
Denzel Washington
Andrew Garfield

Christian Bale
Hugh Jackman
Harry Dean Stanton
Steve Carrell
Matt Damon


BEST ACTRESS
Frances McDormand
Saoirse Ronan
Sally Hawkins
Margot Robbie
Meryl Streep

Jessica Chastain
Judi Dench
Michelle Williams
Emma Stone
Vicky Krieps

Annette Bening
Brooklyn Prince
Cynthia Nixon
Lois Smith
Jennifer Lawrence


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Sam Rockwell
Willem Dafoe
Richard Jenkins
Woody Harrelson
Michael Stuhlbarg

Armie Hammer
Ray Romano
Christopher Plummer
Steve Carrell
Mark Rylance

Michael Shannon
Jason Mitchell
Dustin Hoffman
Idris Elba
Bob Odenkirk, Bruce Greenwood, or someone else from The Post


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Alison Janney
Laurie Metcalf
Holly Hunter
Mary J Blige
Hong Chau

Octavia Spencer
Lesley Manville
Tiffany Haddish
Melissa Leo
Kristin Scott Thomas

Carrie Coon
Michelle Williams
Claire Foy
Tatiana Maslany
Michelle Pfeiffer


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Get Out
The Post

The Big Sick
Phantom Thread
Dunkirk
I, Tonya
Darkest Hour

The Florida Project
The Meyerowitz Stories
Downsizing
Coco
Wind River


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Call Me By Your Name
Mudbound
Molly’s Game
The Disaster Artist
All the Money in the World

The Beguiled
Wonder Woman
Blade Runner 2049
First They Killed My Father
Wonder

It
Logan
Hostiles
Wonderstruck
Last Flag Flying



BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Call Me By Your Name
Mudbound

Phantom Thread
Darkest Hour
Get Out
The Post
The Florida Project

Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Beguiled
Wonder Wheel


BEST EDITING
The Shape of Water
Dunkirk
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Get Out
I, Tonya

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
The Post
Darkest Hour
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Call Me By Your Name
Lady Bird
The Florida Project



BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Blade Runner 2049
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Post

Phantom Thread
Mudbound
The Greatest Showman
All the Money in the World
Darkest Hour

Wonder Woman
Call Me By Your Name
War for the Planet of the Apes


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Phantom Thread
The Post
Darkest Hour

Blade Runner 2049
War for the Planet of the Apes
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Greatest Showman
Coco

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Call Me By Your Name
Wonder Woman


BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Foxtrot
Loveless
A Fantastic Woman
The Square
In the Fade

The Insult
Felicite
The Wound
On Body and Soul


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Jane
Faces Places
LA 92
City of Ghosts
Strong Island

Icarus
Ex Libris: New York Public Library
Last Men in Aleppo
Chasing Coral
Human Flow

An Inconvenient Sequel
Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
Long Strange Trip
One of Us
Unrest


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Coco
The Breadwinner
Loving Vincent
The Lego Batman Movie
Mary and the Witches Flower

In This Corner of the World
Ferdinand
The Big Bad Fox and Other Tales
The Boss Baby
The Girl Without Hands

Despicable Me 3
Cars 3
The Star
A Silent Voice
Ethel and Ernest

Unintentional puns aside, he should have been given one for Nightcrawler.

I'll be watching Stronger this week. Held off as I'm not emotionally ready for it.

Predictions and statements.

BP
Will be nom'd
3BB, Shape of Water, Dunkirk, Lady Bird, Get Out, Call me By Your Name, The Post, I Tonya

(This would have been a good year for a strong 5, while I've been generally happy with what I've seen this year, I'll have a top twenty. It would have been fun to see who would have gotten snubbed in the SJW Olympics of gay, black, and female film)

Should be nom'd - Logan, I think this is the "favorite" movie of the year for most and the one that has the legs to be remembered in 5-10 years(good luck Lady Bird and Get Out). Mudbound on Netflix was also very good but that feels like the sign of the next movie hitting Dee Rees.

Director
Nolan, Del Toro, Gerwig, Peele, McDonagh

Nolan finally gets his directors nom...even though like Charlie Brown and the football they are going to keep pulling it away from him. This will be Del Toro or McDonagh's year, Gerwig is winning in Screenplay but Portman shamed the academy so white dudes Ridley Scott and Steven Speilberg are out.

Should be nom'd
Dee Rees did a really good job in Mudbound, I'd rather see her in than Gerwig and Peele. Ridley Scott should be the other guy to slip in for All the Money in the World, stunt casting aside it's a film that just does everything right.

Best Actor
Oldman, Hanks, Kaluuya, Day-Lewis, Chalamet

The Oldman coronation shall be complete, I think Franco misses out for Hanks. You know it's been 16 years since Hanks has made the cut this will be his fifth performance where's he's been in the mix and snubbed since 2015

But if you were to bump Hanks it should be for Sam Rockwell and Willem Defoe as those are lead performances that are fraudulently being thrown in Supporting.

Best Actress
Ronan, Hawkins, McDormand, Robbie, Streep

McDormand was good, Ronan was good, Margot Robbie became a movie star with I, Tonya.

I'd like to see Michelle Williams slip in there and take Streep's spot. Give Michelle a little justice for losing her My Week Marilyn performance to Streep's Iron Lady (a performance I was not a fan of). I think it was a hell of a lot harder to give Monroe gravitas and humanity than Thatcher.

Best Sup Actor
Plummer, Harrellson, Rockwell, Defoe, Stewart

Perhaps Sthulberg's performances with split the ballot and Patrick Stewart can finally get some validation. Florida Project is cute but it's not a real film, more of an experimental type thing Rockwell is walking away with this.

Best Sup Actress
Blige, Spencer, Manville, Metcalf, Janney

Janney is winning this, should go to Metcalf. I would have liked to see Connie Britton slip in for Beatrix at Dinner or Tilda Swinton for Okja but ah well such is life.

Adapted Screenplay

Call Me By Your Name
Mudbound
Molly's Game
All The Money in the World
The Beguilled

Original Screenplay

Ladybird
Get Out
3 Billboards
The Shape of Water
The Big Sick

Cinematography

Blade Runner 2049
Call Me By Your Name
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Mudbound

and that's all the categories I care about

Nice to see Laurie Metcalf nominated. That's all I care about in this year

Here's the full list of nominees:

Best Picture:
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Director:
Jordan Peele, Get Out
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape Of Water

Best Actress:
Sally Hawkins
Frances McDormand
Margot Robbie
Saoirse Ronan
Meryl Streep

Best Actor:
Timothee Chalamet
Daniel Day-Lewis
Daniel Kaluuya
Gary Oldman
Denzel Washington

Original Screenplay:
The Big Sick
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Adapted Screenplay:
Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Logan
Molly's Game
Mudbound

Best Animated film:
Coco
The Breadwinner
Ferdinand
Loving Vincent
The Boss Baby

Original song nominees:
Remember Me (from Coco)
Mystery of Love (from Call Me By Your Name)
This Is Me (from The Greatest Showman)
Mighty River (from Mudbound)
Stand Up For Something (from Marshall)

Best Documentary:
Faces Places
Icarus
Last Men in Aleppo
Strong Island
Small Enough to Jail

Best Documentary Short:
Edith & Eddie
Heaven is a Traffic Jam
Heroin(e)
Knifeskills
Traffic Stop

Best foreign language:
A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
On Body and Soul (Hungary)
The Insult (Lebanon)
Loveless (Russia)
The Square (Sweden)

Best supporting actor nominees:
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Supporting Actress:
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Make-up & Hairstyling:
Darkest Hour
Victoria & Abdul
Wonder

Film Editing:
Baby Driver
Dunkirk
I, Tonya
The Shape Of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Visual Effects:
Blade Runner 2049
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Kong: Skull Island
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes

Best Original Score:
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Live Action Short Film:
DeKalb Elementary
The Eleven O’Clock
My Nephew Emmett
The Silent Child
Watu Wote/All of Us

Best Animated Short Film:
Dear Basketball
Garden Party
Lou
Negative Space
Revolting Rhymes

Best Sound Mixing:
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Best Sound Editing:
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Best Costume Design:
Beauty and the Beast
Darkest Hour
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Victoria & Abdul

Cinematography:
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Mudboud
The Shape of Water

Production Design:
Beauty & the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water

__________________
“Let me tell you something you already know. The world ain't all sunshine and rainbows. It's a very mean and nasty place and I don't care how tough you are, it will beat you to your knees and keep you there permanently if you let it. You, me, or nobody is gonna hit as hard as life. But it ain't about how hard ya hit. It's about how hard you can get hit and keep moving forward. How much you can take and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!” ~ Rocky Balboa

Assuming I didn't muck anything up, you should be able to make your Oscar picks already:

https://www.movieforums.com/oscars/picks

Did anyone find the presentation so cringy to watch?

boss baby 4 da win!

Yes.

I just want Oldman to win and I'll be happy.

Blank white screen of DEEEAAAATH for mobile/mobile.

Sorry, I'll look into that.

I hope The Disaster Artist gets the Oscar, mainly just so it will be like Greg Sestero has achieved his biggest dream.

I just noticed that Disaster Artist was completely snubbed in every category aside from Adapted Screenplay.
James Franco receives a few accusations and the movie is blocked from the top nominations. That is just horsesh*t. Franco deserved a Best Actor nod.

YOU'RE TEARING ME APART OSCARS!!!

I'm surprised Jordan Peele and Get Out got nomination in the Director and Picture categories. In a good way of course.

Peele has got to be ecstatic. From sketch comedy show actor, writer, and host to acclaimed director from his debut film. Good for him!

Disaster Artist wasnt snubbed, unless I'm hallucinating.

And maybe the panel just thought franco was an undeserving pot head. He probably has enough statuettes to turn into mull bowls and bongs anyway.

Thank God Disaster Artist isn't a big player in this.

I havent seen it so I'm not commenting on it but getting nominated for awards reminds me of several years ago a movie winning the top award in my country. It was about a guy who emptied portable toilets. Wow. I've never seen that either.