What do you think will get nominated for best picture at the Oscars?

The odds are getting slimmer for Glenn Howerton's BlackBerry performance. Oh well, he and Jay Baruchel will likely get Canadian Screen award noms.

The PGA announced their nominees today, for the prize that correlates to Best Picture at the Academy Awards...

American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

Last year there were three differences between the PGA ten and Oscar's. They both had Avatar: The Way of Water, The Banshees of Inisherin, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Fabelmans, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick and both selected EEAAO as the winner but the PGA rounded their ten out with Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, and The Whale while The Academy went with All Quiet on the Western Front, Triangle of Sadness, and Women Talking.

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I’m thinking now that these 10 films will end up matching up with the Oscar best picture lineup. What do you think?

American Fiction
Maestro
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Barbie
Poor Things
Air
The Boy and the Heron

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“Let me tell you something you already know. The world ain't all sunshine and rainbows. It's a very mean and nasty place and I don't care how tough you are, it will beat you to your knees and keep you there permanently if you let it. You, me, or nobody is gonna hit as hard as life. But it ain't about how hard ya hit. It's about how hard you can get hit and keep moving forward. How much you can take and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!” ~ Rocky Balboa

I agree with the first seven, but I don't see Air or The Boy and the Heron getting nominated. They didn't get nominated for PGA, SAG, or DGA and aren't likely to get nominated in many other categories. Past Lives, Anatomy of a Fall and Zone of Interest are far more likely to get nominated for best picture.

My predictions:

Best Picture

• American Fiction
• Anatomy of a Fall
• Barbie
• The Holdovers
• Oppenheimer
• Killers of the Flower Moon
• Maestro
• Past Lives
• Poor Things
• The Zone of Interest

My other major predictions:

Best Director

• The Holdovers (Alexander Payne)
• Killers of the Flower Moon (Martin Scorsese)
• Maestro (Bradley Cooper)
• Oppenheimer (Christopher Nolan)
• Poor Things (Yorgos Lanthimos)

Best Original Screenplay

• Anatomy of a Fall (Justine Triet, Arthur Harari)
• The Holdovers (David Hemingson)
• Maestro (Bradley Cooper, Josh Singer)
• May December (Samy Burch)
• Past Lives (Celine Song)

Best Adapted Screenplay

• All of Us Strangers (Andrew Haigh)
• American Fiction (Cord Jefferson)
• Barbie (Greta Gerwig, Noah Baumbach)
• Oppenheimer (Christopher Nolan)
• Poor Things (Tony McNamara)

Best Actor

• American Fiction (Jeffrey Wright)
• The Holdovers (Paul Giamatti)
• Maestro (Bradley Cooper)
• Oppenheimer (Cillian Murphy)
• Rustin (Colman Domingo)

Best Actress

• Anatomy of a Fall (Sandra Hüller)
• Barbie (Margot Robbie)
• Killers of the Flower Moon (Lily Gladstone)
• Maestro (Carey Mulligan)
• Poor Things (Emma Stone)

Best Supporting Actor

• American Fiction (Sterling K. Brown)
• Barbie (Ryan Gosling)
• Killers of the Flower Moon (Robert De Niro)
• May December (Charles Melton)
• Oppenheimer (Robert Downey Jr.)

Best Supporting Actress

• The Color Purple (Danielle Brooks)
• The Holdovers (Da'Vine Joy Randolph)
• Nyad (Jodie Foster)
• Oppenheimer (Emily Bliunt)
• The Zone of Interest (Sandra Hüller)

These are also my final predictions now.

I've heard conflicting information on whether Barbie will be nominated (if it is) for Best Original Screenplay or Best Adapted Screenplay.

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I'm assuming you guys are right on the BP noms, unless only 9 get nominated

They changed the rules so there is a guaranteed 10 nominated.

I believe the rules were changed again last year to assure there will always be ten BP nominees each year. You know, until they change the rules again. But for now, I believe we are guaranteed ten.

Jinx. You owe me an Oscar.

Ah, I think I remember that now

The PGA 10 made it, as many of us predicted:

American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

Two non English language films in the best picture nominations. Progress!