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Originally posted by Piddzilla
I think you know the answer to that question so I'll assume it's entirely rethorical. Otherwise it's pretty stupid. On the other hand, if George W Bush was to be elected three or even four times I would say that he is something above the ordinary president too, yes.
Yep, it's rhetorical. And I think my point is made: popularity does not equal validity. What's more, you can hardly point to FDR's tenure as evidence of his greatness when it's been literally impossible to equal it for some time now. Reagan, for example, would've surely been elected to at LEAST a third term had he been playing under the older Presidential rules, yet I've got a sneaking suspicion that you don't think much of him.

I do not think mere popularity is a valid indicator of effectiveness...but even if it was, I seriously doubt that you apply it consistently when assessing administrations further away from your particular political mindset.


Originally posted by Piddzilla
I am very, very aware of the fact that FDR was "a special case", but don't you think the american people would have voted on the other guy if they thought he was such a tyrant?
I don't think Steve said people thought he was a tyrant. I believe he said that he was, whether people thought so at the time or not.


Originally posted by Piddzilla
I'm sure you can find british people who hate Churchill but it still doesn't dismiss the fact that he's generally regarded as the greatest prime minister in modern time. Just like FDR is probably generally regarded as the greatest president in modern time.
He is? News to me. I don't know anyone crazy enough to hold him up alongside Winston.



I am having a nervous breakdance
Originally posted by Sir Toose


I'm not going to bother with at least half of your post because it's just plain childish. It's typical Piddzilla, throwing a tantrum and yes I can quote it.
Ok, whatever.... So. What would Cheney have been in your eyes if he was a frenchman? Maybe you didn't see the question mark.

Problem #1

UN Resolution #687.

Peace was never declared in Iraq. A cease fire was agreed to under certain conditions. This cease fire was agreed to and in fact written by the UN security council in 1991. I quote it below:

Decides that, in accordance with resolution 661 (1990) and subsequent related resolutions and until a further decision is taken by the Security Council, all States shall continue to prevent the sale or supply, or the promotion or facilitation of such sale or supply, to Iraq by their nationals, or from their territories or using their flag vessels or aircraft, of:

(a) Arms and related materiel of all types, specifically including the sale or transfer through other means of all forms of conventional military equipment, including for paramilitary forces, and spare parts and components and their means of production, for such equipment;


Iraq HAD a military in place in 2003, Iraq had a paramilitary, Iraq had conventional weapons, Iraq had nuclear facilities (yet did fall short of producing a nuke). I can point by point show how Iraq over the course of a decade violated almost all of the 34 items in this resolution. All of the nations in question signed this agreement. They ALL thought it was a great idea. Why, after a decade, is it NOT a good idea anymore? What changed?
I am not very familiar with this technical language but it seems to me that all that quote is saying is that you can't sell weapons to Iraq, not that Iraq may not possess weapons. And I too know that Iraq violated all kinds of things in various resolutions and this and that. And I too thought that Iraq should be dealt with. I too think Jaques Chirac is an ass. What I don't think is that Europe collectively owns USA to attack Iraq just because USA says so.


Problem #2

Halliburton, USA, evildoings, the great Satan, et al.

I'm sure the US cuts oil deals with everyone in the mid-east. The fact is that the US is the number one consumer of oil in the world. I'll even go so far as to say that I've read statistics that the US uses as much as the other four in the top five combined. Good alternatives to fossil fuels are being explored everyday, but have not been discovered yet (yes there is progress, but nothing that can provide the same benefits). All that being said, the US has to get oil from somewhere. Internally our hands are tied. Folks like GWB want to use native sources and our environmentalist contingent wigs out. Same with nuclear power. So we buy external oil... and when we do, people have a problem with it.

Contrary to contemporary belief...the US does a lot of good in the world. That oil money alone could feed countries, yet the way governments are constructed it all goes into the hands of a few.

That's beside the point. The point is you say that Halliburton cut illegal deals. Illegal by what law? Un resolutions? That's not law, if it were, then everyone who signed resolution #687 is in violation of international law for not holding up their end if the agreement that they signed except the US and Britian (who are guilty of being tardy).
First of all, USA and Europe are almost equal in ther consumtion of oil. Secondly, my post about Halliburton had nothing to do with oil. I just used it as an example of that not only french or russian or german or whatever european country's companies are driven by profit instead of by loyalty to some UN resolution or sanction. Thirdly, I didn't say that Halliburton cut illegal deals - on the contrary, I said they did it all legally.

On one hand you want the UN to be iron clad international law. And on the other hand you want to disregard what was signed into action. Read the resolution I referenced above
HERE and tell me if you still think so. If so, then you should have no problems with the US going back to Iraq, nor should you have any problems with the other signatories being held responsible for their actions.
As I said before, you haven't followed this discussion very closely so you don't know at all what I really think about this.

I think that a lot of reforms are needed within UN (first - get rid of the veto in the Security Council). Then the resolutions should be written in such ways that it's no question about what they really mean and what the consequences of breaking them really are. Then perhaps we could start talking about international laws.

If you'd really read my posts you would find that I was not really opposing the invasion of Iraq but the way it happened because of the fraction between USA and some european countries, and some other reasons too.

Oh, and no, I'm not pissed. I deal with children every day and they are incapable of the necessary thought\reasoning etc that it would require to get under my skin. You'll have to do MUCH better if that's your intent.
Good, good... It's a good thing I'm intellectually inferior to you so I don't risk waking the rage in you - which is my only intent.
__________________
The novelist does not long to see the lion eat grass. He realizes that one and the same God created the wolf and the lamb, then smiled, "seeing that his work was good".

--------

They had temporarily escaped the factories, the warehouses, the slaughterhouses, the car washes - they'd be back in captivity the next day but
now they were out - they were wild with freedom. They weren't thinking about the slavery of poverty. Or the slavery of welfare and food stamps. The rest of us would be all right until the poor learned how to make atom bombs in their basements.



I am having a nervous breakdance
Originally posted by Yoda
Welcome back! How did it all go with the girl????



Yep, it's rhetorical. And I think my point is made: popularity does not equal validity. What's more, you can hardly point to FDR's tenure as evidence of his greatness when it's been literally impossible to equal it for some time now. Reagan, for example, would've surely been elected to at LEAST a third term had he been playing under the older Presidential rules, yet I've got a sneaking suspicion that you don't think much of him.
But didn't you have the same rules in the days of FDR but an exception was being made?

Reagan is the Margret Thatcher of America. That says it all. A good thing for some, and a bad thing for others. And the certainity of Reagan being elected to a third or fourth term is highly speculative. I could say the same thing about Clinton or ask what would have happened if JFK hadn't been killed.

I do not think mere popularity is a valid indicator of effectiveness...but even if it was, I seriously doubt that you apply it consistently when assessing administrations further away from your particular political mindset.
Speaking of Margret Thatcher.... I don't like her or the politics she stood for one bit, but Joe Strummer of The Clash (pretty far from rightwing) said it pretty well: "Say what you want, but she had balls THIS big!!!". She was the Iron Lady and even though she did a lot of pretty ****ed up things I can understand why the brits wanted to keep her. She stood for stability and the alternatives didn't have her charisma.

I don't really remember everything about this discussion, it was so long since we last were at it. But I don't recall ever saying that popularity is a indicator of effectiveness. If popularity is an indicator of anything, it's an indicator of - popularity! All I said was that there was obviously something pretty remarkable about FDR since he is the only president that has been elected four times. But you had to admit that he was pretty effective.

I don't think Steve said people thought he was a tyrant. I believe he said that he was, whether people thought so at the time or not.
Well, if he in fact was a tyrant I think people of the time would have noticed...

He is? News to me. I don't know anyone crazy enough to hold him up alongside Winston.
Well, being an american you probably know better than me... Maybe it's just the way he's being portrayed in films and stuff or that he's considered a great leader here in Europe.

I saw a discussion on a forum on the Net somewhere. I don't remember if it was here or where it was but the question about who the best president of USA ever was came up, and I seem to remember Washington and FDR were being mentioned the most.



Originally posted by Piddzilla
Welcome back! How did it all go with the girl????
Thanks for the welcome. Things went well. Just don't buy into the seamstress-esque insinuations of Slaytan and Silver.


Originally posted by Piddzilla
But didn't you have the same rules in the days of FDR but an exception was being made?
Sort of. Washington imposed the two-term limit on himself, I believe, and it was never fully made law until during Truman's Presidency (I think)...though Truman himself was exempted from it. Regardless, it is now law, and therefore it's a little difficult to gauge just how FDR stacks up against more modern Presidents in terms of popularity. And, of course, he DID come into power during a rather unique and crucial time in our history.


Originally posted by Piddzilla
Reagan is the Margret Thatcher of America. That says it all. A good thing for some, and a bad thing for others. And the certainity of Reagan being elected to a third or fourth term is highly speculative. I could say the same thing about Clinton or ask what would have happened if JFK hadn't been killed.
Who was Reagan bad for, in your mind?

Concerning speculation: technically, yes, it is speculative...but reasonably I think it's quite certain given the fact that Bush Sr. clearly succeeded him on the merits of the Reagan administration. So I think a third term was a given...a fourth, I'll grant you, would be too speculative. And yes, I think Clinton would've likely won a third term as well.


Originally posted by Piddzilla
I don't really remember everything about this discussion, it was so long since we last were at it. But I don't recall ever saying that popularity is a indicator of effectiveness. If popularity is an indicator of anything, it's an indicator of - popularity, and nothing else! All I said was that there was obviously something pretty remarkable about him since he is the only president that has been elected four times. But you had to admit that he was pretty effective.
There was indeed something remarkable about him. He was, at the very least, an incredibly eloquent and clever man. Many view Roosevelt as the first "modern" President...the first to play the publicity game as heavily as is now expected of all Presidential candidates. I think he owes a great deal of his popularity to his media savvy.

That said, I'm not trying to make the case that Roosevelt was an evil man or even a particularly bad Head of State.


Originally posted by Piddzilla
Well, if he in fact was a tyrant I think people of the time would have noticed...
I don't know about that...we have people now who think Bush is cleansing the world of evil, and others who seem convinced he is Satan incarnate. Such polarized views, if nothing else, show us that it's all too easy to have entirely the wrong opinion of your country's leader without a bit of hindsight.


Originally posted by Piddzilla
Well, being an american you probably know better than me... Maybe it's just the way he's being portrayed in films and stuff or that he's considered a great leader in Europe.
Depends on what you mean by "great leader." He was certainly adept at swaying public opinion and getting people behind him. His popularity attests to that.


Originally posted by Piddzilla
I saw a discussion on a forum on the Net somewhere. I don't remember if it was here or where it was but the question about who the best president of USA ever was came up, and I seem to remember Washington and FDR were being mentioned the most.
That surprises me. I suppose an odd Democrat or Socialist here or there might prop FDR up rather highly, hailing the New Deal as a revolution which will inevitably expand for the forseeable future. I find that Lincoln takes the cake, generally, though.



I am having a nervous breakdance
Originally posted by Yoda

Thanks for the welcome. Things went well. Just don't buy into the seamstress-esque insinuations of Slaytan and Silver.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, blah, blah, blah.... Cut the crap... DID YOU GET ANY????

Sort of. Washington imposed the two-term limit on himself, I believe, and it was never fully made law until during Truman's Presidency (I think)...though Truman himself was exempted from it. Regardless, it is now law, and therefore it's a little difficult to gauge just how FDR stacks up against more modern Presidents in terms of popularity. And, of course, he DID come into power during a rather unique and crucial time in our history.
Yes, but that is why I think he is remarkable. In times of chaos and turmoil, and even war, it's not unusual that political leaders are being exchanged like underwear or that the chaos makes way for dictators (Hitler comes to mind). I think that the way he handled the Depression and WWII is very admirable.

Who was Reagan bad for, in your mind?
Everybody.


There was indeed something remarkable about him. He was, at the very least, an incredibly eloquent and clever man. Many view Roosevelt as the first "modern" President...the first to play the publicity game as heavily as is now expected of all Presidential candidates. I think he owes a great deal of his popularity to his media savvy.

That said, I'm not trying to make the case that Roosevelt was an evil man or even a particularly bad Head of State.
The same could certainly be said about Reagan who is sometimes viewed as the first "TV-president" because of his understanding of the importance of that medium (looking into the camera instead of down in the papers when addressing the nation). And he was, of course, an actor before he was a president.

I don't know about that...we have people now who think Bush is cleansing the world of evil, and others who seem convinced he is Satan incarnate. Such polarized views, if nothing else, show us that it's all too easy to have entirely the wrong opinion of your country's leader without a bit of hindsight.
Sure, and I am sure that some people hated FDR back in the days, but just like I think it's wrong to call Bush a fascist, just as wrong do I think it is to call FDR a tyrant. Because they just are not any of those things - it's misusings of the words.

Depends on what you mean by "great leader." He was certainly adept at swaying public opinion and getting people behind him. His popularity attests to that.
I think what he did politically domestically and internationally is fantastic, and he stood strong when it blew hard.

That surprises me. I suppose an odd Democrat or Socialist here or there might prop FDR up rather highly, hailing the New Deal as a revolution which will inevitably expand for the forseeable future. I find that Lincoln takes the cake, generally, though.
European socialists of the 40's and 50's did actually consider America as the only country in the world truly without social classes. FDR might have had something to do with that....

Lincoln was probably mentioned a lot too, yes.



Originally posted by Django
I won't comment on which is the "superior economic theory." However, demand-side economics is a proven reality--for me, an experiential reality. In the context of life's variables, it may not operate with strict mathematical precision, but it operates nevertheless and cannot be ignored.
No, it does not operate. I explained this awhile ago:

"You're quite right in stating than an economic theory cannot be expected to cover every scenario, thus it need not ALWAYS work when all of life's intangibles are thrown into the mix. The problem with Keynesianism is that fluctuating products are not some minor detail. They are, arguably, the core of our economy, and unarguably an important part of it. To say Keynesianism works if you assume a static produce line is like saying the weather's nice so long as you don't get any wind."


Originally posted by Django
To base your entire economic policy on the hope or expectation that, by means of innovation or advertizing or whatever, you can somehow revitalize the economy by conning the consumer into buying products when he lacks the funds to do so is not only absurd, it is inhuman.
No one said anything about "conning" people into buying things. That's closer to the Keynesian view, actually; boosting consumer confidence is little more than convincing people to buy things. The supply-side philosophy is more of the "if you build it, they will come" school of thought.


Originally posted by Django
It makes no sense to cut taxes when people don't have jobs, because unless you have an income to be taxed, you don't benefit from tax cuts. As such, the tax cuts inordinately benefit the wealthy, who are already earning an income.
The "wealthy" you speak of are the same ones providing the jobs in question. When businesses do well, they tend to expand, therefore any tax cut which benefits a business will, in turn, benefit prospective employees.


Originally posted by Django
My proposals for economic recovery, based on FDR's strategy, were a humane, common sense solution to the problem, which would have immediately created jobs and inspired consumer confidence by introducing cash and job income into the economy.
Your proposal, is I'm remembering them correctly, advocated little more than moving money from one place in the economy to another.



Had to dredge up this thread, for the following article. I encourage you all to follow the links.

Fables of the Reconstruction
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there's a frog in my snake oil
Originally Posted by Steve
Had to dredge up this thread, for the following article. I encourage you all to follow the links.

Fables of the Reconstruction
Nice one stevo. Very interesting. I think this summary point is poignant tho...

"A conscious effort to reward Bush cronies with lucrative government contracts would require a lot more coordination than the CPI uncovers."

I think that level of coordination is next-to-uncoverable, if it exists (and i'm quite prepared to believe it does ). So, yes, they can't claim a blanket "donations-lead-to-contracts" equation - but then that would be overly simplistic anyway. To examine unfair advantage thru donations you'd have to correlate all profits due to demonstrable government patronage (i.e. beneficial legislative changes, contracts, support in WTO or on the ground in different countries, a blind eye being turned to interference in watchdog bodies etc etc etc - and of course much of that is tricky to lay on the table).

One thing that intrigues me on the contract front is...Why weren't Iraqi contractors included in the competition for the jobs - or, to be more practical, why wasn't provision made for such a step? (it would have helped with reconstruction all round - and being an educated country, used to building monoliths to one man's arrogance, i'm sure Iraq has plenty of technical skills and potential contractors floating around. They may not all measure up with these chosen-ones, but such a move would have the beneficial repurcussion of tackling unemployment on the ground etc)

So, good to have a rigourous check of the CPI's claims, but all it shows is it's not clear either way. Think i'll stick with my i-don't-trust-Bush-so-i-don't-trust-Bush reasoning for now (and there's plenty of reasons not to trust Dubya and posse - not that means others are any innocenter - if that's a word. Ah hell, Dubya wouldn't care, why should i )
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there's a frog in my snake oil
Hmm, okay, Halliburton could be the best of the 5 companies selected to compete for the iraq job, but doesn't anyone find the sheer level of wealth and industry-involvement in the Bush cabinet unsettling. It's not that they're all millionaires, it's that they have implicit and inapropriate ties with influential-as-it-is industries. And, Halliburton just looks suss. The other stuff isn't necessarily so, but they're dodgey (happy Yoda?) thru and thru, and stuck to the admin like glue.

If energy-companies can help bring about legislations that lead to blackouts and poor service etc, what can oil-companies set in motion, eh, eh? (not suggesting they get the admin to go to war as such - they just point out the profits and keep pushing i'd say).

Anyway, here's an interesting little snuffle thru Halli's dirty underwear draw.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/s...968446,00.html

Oh, and look at the "think tanks" some Halliburtoneers sit on...

Trilateral Commission
Halliburton directors, C.J. Silas and L.S. Eagleburger, have both been members of the Trilateral Commission.68 According to Senator Barry Goldwater, the Trilateral Commission 'is international and is intended to be the vehicle for multinational consolidation of the commercial and banking interests by seizing control of the political government of the US.'69

The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)
Halliburton director Lawrence S. Eagleburger has twice been a member of the CFR (1988, 2001).70 According to its literature, the CFR 'is dedicated to increasing America’s understanding of the world and contributing ideas to U.S. foreign policy. The Council accomplishes this mainly by promoting constructive debates and discussions, clarifying world issues, and publishing Foreign Affairs.'71

The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
Halliburton director Ray L. Hunt is on the board of trustees of CSIS, a private organisation head-quartered in Washington DC. According to its web site, it has 'been dedicated to providing world leaders with strategic insights on — and policy solutions to — current and emerging global issues.' CSIS is dominated by members with strong ties to the US government and private industry.72
Oh, and they employ soldiers too for some intriguing reason. (yes, i'm suggesting they're building their own personal army, and will soon be taking over the world, mwuhahahaha. Arm yourselves people )

Other info and fairly level-headed anti-industry prying on Halli's con-net (and other goings on) at...

http://www.corporatewatch.org.uk/pro...aliburton3.htm



Originally Posted by Golgot
Nice one stevo. Very interesting. I think this summary point is poignant tho...

"A conscious effort to reward Bush cronies with lucrative government contracts would require a lot more coordination than the CPI uncovers."

I think that level of coordination is next-to-uncoverable, if it exists (and i'm quite prepared to believe it does ). So, yes, they can't claim a blanket "donations-lead-to-contracts" equation - but then that would be overly simplistic anyway. To examine unfair advantage thru donations you'd have to correlate all profits due to demonstrable government patronage (i.e. beneficial legislative changes, contracts, support in WTO or on the ground in different countries, a blind eye being turned to interference in watchdog bodies etc etc etc - and of course much of that is tricky to lay on the table).
Agreed. Which, in my mind, leaves us with nothing more than speculation...which isn't enough to prosecute with. Those who like Bush will remain skeptical, and those who dislike him will believe it's true, despite lacking actual evidence. Or, to borrow a turn of paraphrase from Lewis; this proves this, or that, or something else, depending on the person.

Originally Posted by Golgot
One thing that intrigues me on the contract front is...Why weren't Iraqi contractors included in the competition for the jobs - or, to be more practical, why wasn't provision made for such a step? (it would have helped with reconstruction all round - and being an educated country, used to building monoliths to one man's arrogance, i'm sure Iraq has plenty of technical skills and potential contractors floating around. They may not all measure up with these chosen-ones, but such a move would have the beneficial repurcussion of tackling unemployment on the ground etc)
From my understanding, some of the companies (might just be Halliburton; not sure) had already mapped out strategies some time before. Example: Halliburton was, if I've heard correctly, hired under the last adminitration for work there, and as such came into this round far better equipped. I've been told (and this sounds reasonable, but I've yet to personally verify it) that Halliburton, therefore, had already done the prep that could've taken another company weeks or months...and obviously the US is in a bit of a hurry to get this thing under control as fast as possible.

Toss in the fact that Halliburton may very well be the most qualified anyway, and I think choosing them was quite reasonable. People toss accusations about Halliburton around very recklessly, given the fact that they'd be hard-pressed to find a better-qualified and prepared company for the job.

Originally Posted by Golgot
Hmm, okay, Halliburton could be the best of the 5 companies selected to compete for the iraq job, but doesn't anyone find the sheer level of wealth and industry-involvement in the Bush cabinet unsettling. It's not that they're all millionaires, it's that they have implicit and inapropriate ties with influential-as-it-is industries. And, Halliburton just looks suss. The other stuff isn't necessarily so, but they're dodgey (happy Yoda?) thru and thru, and stuck to the admin like glue.
It's big of you to admit that they're probably the most qualified. That said, though, no, I do not find the level of wealth and involvement of Bush's cabinet unsettling. In many ways, the government should be run a bit more like a business. No completely, of course, but government's closed-off nature has undeniably caused it to become rather bloated, unwiedly, and inefficient. I think a traditional business perspective could do it quite a bit of good if applied properly.

As for ties and connections; good luck finding people of power and influence (especially from the business world) who are truly seperated from others in their industry. It's inevitable, and only a cause for concern if we see evidence of favoritism and corruption, in my opinion.

Though, as Steve has pointed out in the past, whether or not some politican got rich is pretty unimportant from a pragmatic standpoint if that same politican made decisions which greatly benefitted the country. And, economically, I'm quite convinced that Bush has done us quite a lot of good, of which we are seeing only the beginning.

Originally Posted by Golgot
If energy-companies can help bring about legislations that lead to blackouts and poor service etc, what can oil-companies set in motion, eh, eh? (not suggesting they get the admin to go to war as such - they just point out the profits and keep pushing i'd say).
Oh dear...are you trying to pin the blackouts on privatization, or some such thing?



there's a frog in my snake oil
Originally Posted by Yoda
Oh dear...are you trying to pin the blackouts on privatization, or some such thing?
In many ways - yes. And saying that deregulation has been more negative than positive. Just ask California. Hell, ask Enron

This isn't the right thread...but....as i understand it:

(a) energy-company price-n-supply-fixing in California has been pretty much established, and was behind their blackouts (and even damaged production plants along the way apparently. Daft if true - truely daft) But that's a specific case.

(b) the wider criticisms are that:

-consumer choice and benefit haven't emerged as energy dealers use various types of "gamesmanship" locally and nationally (i.e. they push the price as high as they can get away with coz demand is constant, and use unscrupulous selling/billing practices etc as the consumer gets befuddled about which supplier to opt for)

-uncertainty in the market may have caused the national network as a whole to be neglected and investment to drop (making blackouts more likely, when coupled with energy-trading over inappropriate distances - and incredibly high demand of course )

-the FREC has no teeth (only fining a company around 1% of its profits for the year it interfered in California for example, if memory serves) and so can't ensure public service.

(Oh, and it's so nice to see Arnuld pushing for deregulation all the way, via scrapping the California Power Authority - despite the fact that deregulation seemed to be a major factor in California's troubles (and his predecessors downfall). That's great thinking. Maybe his economics degree is in deregulation-at-all-costs?)

I'm suggesting energy shouldn't be treated as a commodity in this way. And overall it looks like an example of deregulated competition leading to inferior service (and possibly a breakdown in cohesion in society-wide structures - from regulatory bodies to nation-wide infrastructure )



Originally Posted by Golgot
In many ways - yes. And saying that deregulation has been more negative than positive. Just ask California. Hell, ask Enron
I don't have time to go into depth now, but California was not legitimately deregulated by any reasonable standard whatsoever. The word has become a semantic pretzel, but California most certainly did not undergo energy deregulation in the way you'd expect, given the real meaning of the word.