2015 Academy Awards

We're 5 weeks from the nominees being announced and every contender (except Star Wars, if that is one) has been screened by critics and voters. Who and what do you think will make it in?

Can Alejandro G Inarritu pull off back-to-back best pictures or is his new film too gloomy, bloody, and po-faced for voters? Do voters no longer care how bloody and genre-infused Tarantino's movies are, he's guaranteed a spot or will Hateful Eight end his streak? Does Spotlight have just the right formula since everyone likes it and no one hates it, even though few seem to love it and technically it's perfunctory? Does Inside Out have the popularity and staying power to become the fourth animated film in history to secure a Best Picture nomination? With a late in the game hard push from critics and a few hundred million at the box-office, can Mad Max: Fury Road's spectacular vision and popular support earn it a spot in the race or is it just too weird for a bunch of senior citizens? Will The Martian be the first blockbuster to take the prize since Return of the King 12 years ago? Will Ridley Scott finally get an Oscar even if it's not? And as half the Internet seems to be asking, is this the year DiCaprio takes home a golden boy?

My predictions:

BEST PICTURE
Spotlight
The Martian
Room
Carol
Brooklyn
The Revenant
Bridge of Spies
Joy
Steve Jobs
Mad Max: Fury Road

Serious contenders:
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Creed
The Danish Girl
Beasts of No Nation

Dark horses:
The Big Short
Son of Saul
Sicario
Concussion
Star Wars

BEST DIRECTOR
Ridley Scott - The Martian
Todd Haynes -Carol
Tom McCarthy -Spotlight
George Miller -Mad Max: Fury Road
Alejandro G Inarritu -The Revenant

Serious contenders:
Steven Spielberg -Bridge of Spies
Quentin Tarantino -The Hateful Eight
David O. Russell -Joy
Lenny Abrahamson -Room
Danny Boyle -Steve Jobs

Dark horses:
Laszlo Nemes -Son of Saul
Cary Fukungaga -Beasts of No Nation
Denis Vileneuve -Sicario
Tom Hooper -The Danish Girl

BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio -The Revenant
Michael Fassbender -Steve Jobs
Matt Damon -The Martian
Johnny Depp -Black Mass
Eddie Redmayne -The Danish Girl

Serious contenders:
Will Smith -Concussion
Michael Caine -Youth
Michael B Jordan Creed
Geza Rohrig -Son of Saul
Tom Hanks -Bridge of Spies

Dark horses:
Bryan Cranston -Trumbo
Samuel L. Jackson -The Hateful Eight
Abraham Attah -Beasts of No Nation
Ian McKellen -Mr. Holmes

BEST ACTRESS
Brie Larson -Room
Cate Blanchett -Carol
Saoirse Ronan -Brooklyn
Jennifer Lawrence -Joy
Charlotte Rampling -45 Years

Serious contenders:
Charlize Theron -Mad Max: Fury Road
Carey Mulligan -Suffragette
Emily Blunt -Sicario
Julianne Moore -Freeheld
Lily Tomlin -Grandma

Dark horses:
Amy Schumer -Trainwreck
Blythe Danner -I'll See You in My Dreams
Patricia Clarkson -Learning to Drive

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mark Ruffalo -Spotlight
Michael Keaton -Spotlight
Mark Rylance -Bridge of Spies
Paul Dano -Love and Mercy
Samuel L. Jackson -The Hateful Eight

Serious contenders:
Benicio Del Toro -Sicario
Sylvester Stallone -Creed
Idris Elba -Beasts of No Nation
Jacob Tremblay -Room
Robert De Niro -Joy

Dark horses:
Someone from -The Big Short
Tom Hardy -The Revenant
Michael Shannon -99 Homes
Bradley Cooper -Joy
Harvey Keitel -Youth

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Rooney Mara -Carol
Alicia Vikander -The Danish Girl
Jennifer Jason Leigh -The Hateful Eight
Kate Winslet -Steve Jobs
Jane Fonda -Youth

Serious contenders:
Elizabeth Banks -Love and Mercy
Rachel McAdams -Spotlight
Joan Allen -Room
Helen Mirren -Trumbo
Diane Ladd -Joy

Dark horses:
Kristen Stewart -Clouds of Sils Maria
Julie Walters -Brooklyn
Alicia Vikander -Ex Machina
Ellen Page -Freeheld
Someone else from -Joy

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Spotlight
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Bridge of Spies
Joy

Serious contenders:
Trainwreck
Youth
45 Years
Love and Mercy
Son of Saul

Dark horses:
Ex Machina
Suffragette
Straight Outta Compton

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Steve Jobs
Brooklyn
Carol
The Martian
Room

Serious contenders:
The Revenant
Anomalisa
Beasts of No Nation
The Big Short
The Danish Girl

Dark horses:
Trumbo
The End of the Tour
Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Revenant
The Martian
Carol
Mad Max: Fury Road
Sicario

Serious contenders:
The Hateful Eight
Son of Saul
Bridge of Spies
Beasts of No Nation
Youth

Dark horses:
Star Wars
The Danish Girl
Joy
Spectre
The Walk

BEST EDITING
The Martian
Mad Max: Fury Road
Spotlight
The Revenant
Steve Jobs

Serious contenders:
Bridge of Spies
The Hateful Eight
Beasts of No Nation
Carol
Joy

Dark horses:
Creed
Room
The Big Short
Star Wars

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Inside Out
Anomalisa
Shaun the Sheep Movie
Good Dinosaur
The Peanuts Movie

Serious contenders:
When Marnie Was There
The Prophet
Home
Minions

BEST DOCUMENTARIES
Amy
The Look of Silence
Heart of a Dog
Cartel Land
3 1/2 Minutes, 10 Bullets

Strong contenders:
Meru
Going Clear
Listen to Me Marlon
Where to Invade Next
Winter on Fire

Dark horses:
The Hunting Ground
He Named Me Malala
Best of Enemies
We Come as Friends
What Happened, Miss Simone?

What do you think? Who am I missing? Who are you rooting for (or against)?

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announced that 20 films are in the running in the Visual Effects category for the 88th Academy Awards.

• “Ant-Man”
• “Avengers: Age of Ultron”
• “Bridge of Spies”
• “Chappie”
• “Everest”
• “Ex Machina”
• “Furious Seven”
• “The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2”
• “In the Heart of the Sea”
• “Jupiter Ascending”
• “Jurassic World”
• “Mad Max: Fury Road”
• “The Martian”
• “Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation”
• “The Revenant”
• “Spectre”
• “Star Wars: The Force Awakens”
• “Terminator Genisys”
• “Tomorrowland”
• “The Walk”

Yes you see it right....The Force Awakens is listed!

The 88th Academy Awards complete list of nominations will be announced live on Thursday, January 14, 2016, at 5:30 a.m. PT at the Academy’s Samuel Goldwyn Theater in Beverly Hills.

The 88th Oscars will be held on Sunday, February 28, 2016, at the Dolby Theatre,and will be televised live on ABC at 7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT. The Oscar presentation also will be televised live in more than 225 countries and territories worldwide.

I'd love to see Stallone get nominated for Creed!

He'll be the one everybody will be talking about leading up to the ceremony. A win would be great, too!

Creed is a very high Oscar contender, though you never know.

I'd say, that as good as it is, Mad Max Fury Road won't be nominated for as many categories as you seem to think, and definitely not Best Picture. It's just not Oscar bait.

__________________
"You, me, everyone...we are all made of star stuff." - Neil Degrasse Tyson

https://shawnsmovienight.blogspot.com/

Mad Max is not gonna get nominated for that many categories sorry to say. It was a good film (the Visuals are where it really shines), but it ain't no best picture contender.

Any of the contenders you listed besides Inside Out will probably be in its place. The Academy won't nominate an Animated film for Best Picture because they've copped out and made a "Best Animated Film" category when I personally think that is ******** and there shouldn't be an Animated movie category because a movie is a movie, no matter if it is made with computers and Voice Actors or cameras and sets.

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https://t.me/pump_upp

Keep in mind I haven't seen most of these, just educated guesses. I'll put an * next to ones I've seen. Plus I'll italic my guess for winner.

Best Picture
Spotlight
Joy
Inside Out*
The Revenant
Carol
Hateful Eight
Creed*
Bridge Of Spies
The Martian

Best Actor
Michael B Jordin*
Leonardo DiCaprio (he is due right?)
Michael Fassenbender
Eddie Redmayne
Johnny Depp
---on the buble----
Will Smith
Michael Caine

Best Actress
Brie Larson
Jennifer Lawrence
Cate Blanchett
Soairse Ronan
Carey Mulligan

Best Supporting Actor
Mark Ruffalo
Sly Stallone*
Tom Hardy
Mark Rylance
Samuel L Jackson

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Jason Leigh
Kate Winslet
Alicia Vikander
Rooney Mara
Jane Fonda

Best Director
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarrritu
Tom McCarthy
Quentin Tarantino
Steven Spielberg
Ryan Coogler* (probably won't get nominated but I'd be excited if he did)

I'd do the Screenplays but I never know if it's been adopted or original.

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I came here to do two things, drink some beer and kick some ass, looks like we are almost outta beer - Dazed and Confused

101 Favorite Movies (2019)

What do you mean they won't nominate an animated film?

Both Toy Story 3 and Up got nominated for Best Picture (and Best Screenplay) just to name some.

Yeah but that was 5 years ago. Has there been one since?

It's that time of year again?
Where people talk about a bunch of movies I can't see.

It's no wonder so many download films illegally off the internet. If I did that at least I'd be part of the conversation.

No. But honestly I would say Inside Out has a great chance of getting a nomination.

The Screen Actors Guild announces their nominees in a couple hours. They can match up with the Oscars pretty well, especially when it comes to the winners (the SAG Awards will be revealed January 30th), but their twenty nominees never all line up exactly with the Oscar choices. Just in the past five years, out of those twenty acting categories only three times have all five nominees corresponded completely with SAG and the Academy: twice for Best Supporting Actor, and once for Best Supporting Actress. There are rarely more than one or two differences in each category, but there are usually differences. And their Best Cast award has historically not been a very reliable match for Best Picture, with titles such as American Hustle, The Help, and Inglourious Basterds winning the SAG in three of the past six years for non-matches with the Academy winners, and even with the Oscars expanding their Picture nominees to potentially as many as ten per year, the SAGs nominate films for Best Cast that do not even manage to get Best Picture nominations, including August: Osage County, Lee Daniel's The Butler, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, and Bridesmaids in the past five years.

These nominees won't knock out any of the perceived frontrunners, but they may give false hope to the three or four or six or however many it is going to be that do not get Oscar nominations on January 14th. But for what they are worth, we'll know this morning what made the SAG cut.

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"Film is a disease. When it infects your bloodstream it takes over as the number one hormone. It bosses the enzymes, directs the pineal gland, plays Iago to your psyche. As with heroin, the antidote to Film is more Film." - Frank Capra

The Screen Actors Guild Award Nominees are...

BEST ACTOR: Bryan Cranston, Johnny Depp, Leonardo DiCaprio, Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs), Eddie Redmayne
BEST ACTRESS: Cate Blanchett, Bria Larson, Helen Mirren (Woman in Gold), Saoirse Ronan, Sarah Silverman
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Christian Bale, Idris Elba, Mark Rylance, Michael Shannon, Jacob Treembley
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Rooney Mara, Rachel McAdams, Helen Mirren (Trumbo), Alicia Vikander, Kate Winslet
CAST: Beasts of No Nation, The Big Short, Spotlight, Straight Outta Compton, Trumbo

Vin Diesel posted a photo of an Oscar screener copy of Furious 7. Wuhuu, it could be awesome if it got a nomination! Its chances are probably in the visual (notable CG Paul Walker) and sound department (surprised non of the movies have had a nom in this category tbh)...

You do realize that there are THOUSANDS of movies that have Oscar screeners, yes? It's not just forty or fifty hopefuls with the most seeming chance at the high profile noms, it is essentially every movie that was released in 2015.

Yep, but still Furious 7 wil get that nom! Watch it happen!

Furious 7 will get a few nominations. Visual Effects, sound editing, and See You Again for best song. I think that this will be a huge year for giving awards (or at least nominations) to old people who haven't gotten as many accolades as they probably should have. I'm predicting Ridley Scott, Leo DiCaprio, George Miller, one of Michael Caine/Ian McKellan, and Sly Stallone to all get nominated, and the first two could win Oscars.

Well the peculiar SAG noms have totally thrown my predictions off, only a few people (Blanchett, Mara, Fassbender, Winslet, Ronan, Depp and Dicaprio seem to be set) but every acting category is quite packed this year, so I reckon there'll be quite a few snubs and surprises. Just have to see how the Globes and BAFTA's respond now.

Furious 7 should easily pick up a song nomination too, it wouldn't surprise me if it won in that category either!

These are my predicted nominees. I put in bold who I think will win.

BEST PICTURE

The Martian
Carol
The Revenant
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Hateful Eight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Steve Jobs


BEST DIRECTOR

Ridley Scott - The Martian
Alejandro González Iñárritu - The Revenant
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
Steven Spielberg - Bridge of Spies
Quentin Tarantino - The Hateful Eight


BEST ACTOR

Johnny Depp - Black Mass
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Matt Damon - The Martian


BEST ACTRESS

Cate Blanchett - Carol
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Brie Larson - Room
Helen Mirren - Woman in Gold
Carey Mulligan - Suffragette


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Michael Shannon - 99 Homes
Christian Bale - The Big Short
Jacob Tremblay - Room
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation
Paul Dano - Love and Mercy


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Rooney Mara - Carol
Helen Mirren - Trumbo
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs
Elisabeth Banks - Love and Mercy
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

The Hateful Eight
Bridge of Spies
Joy
Spotlight
Love and Mercy


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Carol
The Martian
Steve Jobs
The Revenant
Brooklyn


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

The Revenant
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Hateful Eight
Sicario


BEST EDITING

Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Bridge of Spies
The Hateful Eight


BEST ANIMATED FILM

Minions
Inside Out
Anomalisa
The Prophet
Home

BEST PICTURE
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol
Joy
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight
Steve Jobs

BEST ACTOR
Black Mass (Johnny Depp)
The Danish Girl (Eddie Redmayne)
The Martian (Matt Damon)
The Revenant (Leonardo DiCaprio)
Steve Jobs (Michael Fassbender)

BEST ACTRESS
45 Years (Charlotte Rampling)
Brooklyn (Saoirse Ronan)
Carol (Cate Blanchett)
Joy (Jennifer Lawrence)
Room (Brie Larson)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Beasts of No Nation (Idris Elba)
Bridge of Spies (Mark Rylance)
Creed (Sylvester Stallone)
Spotlight (Michael Keaton)
Spotlight (Mark Ruffalo)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Carol (Rooney Mara)
The Danish Girl (Alicia Vikander)
The Hateful Eight (Jennifer Jason Leigh)
Steve Jobs (Kate Winslet)
Youth (Jane Fonda)

BEST DIRECTOR
Carol (Todd Haynes)
Mad Max: Fury Road (George Miller)
The Martian (Ridley Scott)
The Revenant (Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu)
Spotlight (Tom McCarthy)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Bridge of Spies (Matt Charman, Ethan Coen, Joel Coen)
The Hateful Eight (Quentin Tarantino)
Inside Out (Josh Cooley, Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve)
Joy (David O. Russell)
Spotlight (Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Brooklyn (Nick Hornby)
Carol (Phyllis Nagy)
The Martian (Drew Goddard)
Room (Emma Donoghue)
Steve Jobs (Aaron Sorkin)