Originally Posted by Twain
I'd say he wanted to because the window of opportunity was closing. After 911, the Bush Administration had a limited time when they could launch an attack on Iraq with little resistance... from Congress or the American people. Bush played his two best cards: fear and patriotism. It wouldn't have worked prior to 911 and it may not have worked three years after 911. In fact, a preemptive attack with so little evidence would have been unthinkable.
Every conversation I have with someone who is adamantly opposed to the war tends to go exactly like this one. They say they oppose the invasion, are asked why (in some form), and then proceed to detail a list of complaints do not actually describe an opposition to the war at all. They describe an opposition to the Bush administration's PR strategy.
In fact, I'd say the overwhelming majority of the complaints you've listed (in this post and others) are all contingent on you accurately guessing the mindset and motives of the administration. In other words, there's an awful lot of speculation involved, none of which can be independently verified. This is, in my experience, incredibly common among critics of the war, presumably because there's far less to criticize if you stick to established facts and the actual ramifications of the invasion.
Put another way: it sounds like you're trying to convince me not to vote for him. But of course, that's moot now. Even if Bush was entirely disingenuous about the reasons for invading (which you say as if you had some sort of cold hard evidence to support it), that would not effect the wisdom of the invasion. It was either a sound decision in the interest of America and/or the rest of the world, or it wasn't, and it isn't made one or the other based on how speech writers and press secretaries decide to frame it.
Originally Posted by Twain
Maybe Bush really believed Saddam had WMD. Maybe the intelligence wasn't "fixed", manipulated or cherry picked. Is that still a valid reason for invasion? Consider this for a moment... In a conversation with Bush pal, evangelist Pat Robertson, Robertson expressed concern of "many casualties" if we invaded. Bush replied "Don't worry, there won't be any." Does that sound like a man who is concerned about WMD?
The White House
disputes the comment.
The idea that Bush knew they didn't have WMDs just doesn't hold water, for several reasons. First, many politicians on both sides of the aisle in both this administration and the last thought he did (that'd be one hell of a conspiracy). Second, several foreign intelligence agencies thought so, too (the conspiracy grows larger). And third, if they knew it all along, you'd have to believe the administration and all its advisors were inept enough to knowingly hype a threat that they knew wouldn't materialize. Sure doesn't sound like the cold, politically calculating group you've described. And no matter how incompetent you might think they are, they're not stupid enough to play up something that they know doesn't exist. Your average 9th-grader has enough political savvy to avoid that.
Originally Posted by Twain
I don't condemn national interest. Our national interests were: strategic location, lots of oil and perhaps, a stable democracy in the Middle East. Those weren't the reasons we were given. Because a war wouldn't have been approved for those reasons. So we were given reasons based on fear and revenge. The Administration wanted war and it used disingenuous reasons to get it.
1) We were given many reasons to go to war. You can continue to insist that it was all about the thread of WMDs, but the evidence definitively says otherwise. Repeating it doesn't change that.
2) You say the administration used disingenuous reasons to sell the war, but what evidence do you have of this other than conjecture? What special insight into the pysches of administration officials do you have that allows you to conclude this? You can believe it, even if you have nothing more than a gut feeling, but you can't use that feeling as an argument.
3) Even if the administration emphasized one of the justifications more than another, that's hardly cause for condemnation. The concept of public relations was not invented by this President. Had they sold it as the only reason, you'd have a point, but they clearly and
demonstrably did not. What are you expecting, exactly? An equal number of words in each speech devoted to the multiple justifications that exist for the invasion?
Originally Posted by Twain
I'm all for confronting the Islamic radicals. Going to Afghanistan, toppling the Taliban (who supported bin Laden) and chasing down al Qaeda was an excellent example of confronting the radicals. A preemptive invasion of a Muslim country that had nothing to do with 911 is not "confronting the radicals." Unless one has a murky image of anyone Bush chooses to fight as a radical and a terrorist.
al-Qaeda is a terrorist organization, but it does not represent all terrorism. War was declared on all terrorist organizations (I'm sure you recall
that), and Iraq qualified under any reasonable definition of the word. Iraq harbored one of the bombers of the original WTC bombing in 1993, offered cash to the families of Palestinian suicide bombers, and plotted to assassinate a former U.S. President. There are all publicly verifiable and universally accepted facts, and they are all terrorist acts (and some are arguably acts of war in and of themselves).
Moreover, these actions were undertaken by a dictator who, though relatively impotent, postured strength to the point at which some of his own generals (and a good portion of the world) believed he had WMDs.
So how have you concluded that invading Iraq is not "confronting the radicals"? The acts above, and others like them, demonstate that the Iraqi government was being run by "radicals" with a heavily anti-American slant and a history of aggression.
Originally Posted by Twain
That's true, I haven't seen objective confirmation either. But I'm guessing that when foreign troops invade a country, kill 30,000 of its people, wound tens of thousands more and cause massive destruction of the infrastructure; more than a few moderates are going to be alienated. And not only moderates in that country but in other countries that share a similar tradition.
And I'm guessing that when that same invasion supplants a dicator who killed hundreds of thousands of his own people, and invests a great deal of time and money in helping to rebuild that infrastructure, that most real "moderates" would find their alienation tempered.
I'm also guessing that any confrontation of extremists is, by the very nature of the enemy, going to involve damaging infratructure and harming civilians, to the point at which there is no alternative other than inaction.
These things you speak of that alienate moderates -- killing people and the destruction of infrastructure -- are exactly what suicide bombers specialize in. I don't know what you consider to be a "moderate," but the things that you believe are alienating them are the things that the insurgents do intentionally with startling frequency.
Originally Posted by Twain
As I said earlier, there are over one billion Muslims. And I suspect the number of radicals will increase with our continued presence in Iraq. If the options are civil war or an indefinite US occupation, what is the choice? Do we stay and remain a part of the daily death and bloodshed or do we leave and leave the fate of Iraq to the Iraqi people? At what point do we say "We got rid of Saddam and helped establish a government, it's up to you now."
Good question. From what Bush has said, we leave when we're confident that the Iraqis can fend for themselves. There is, unfortunately, no way of knowing for sure when this is.
My opinion: Bush has no intention of leaving. Iraq might collapse into full blown civil war and that would be failure. Bush can't even admit a simple mistake, let alone a massive failure like Iraq. He intends to pass the mess along to the next President. He'll be Johnson to that President's Nixon.[/quote]
I don't want to ever vote for someone who shys away from doing something simply because it might take more than 8 years. It's either the right thing to do, or not. The best decision does not always fit into a 4-year window.
Originally Posted by Twain
So where does that leave us? Do you expect the insurgency to stop? They have that same reasoning..."The US is not going to break our will." They have the same refusal to accept defeat as Bush has. So do we fight for the next 50 years like Israel and Palestine?
I don't expect the insurgency to simply stop; I expect it to lose. And I expect it to become the problem of the Iraqi people at some point. Again, you've got lots of good questions, but -- and this sounds more confrontational than it's meant to -- no answers. And for the decision to have been a mistake, it needs to be demonstrated that there was a better, plausible, alternative.
Originally Posted by Twain
The words I see prior to the invasion are "liberty" and "freedom." Not exactly the same as "establishing a democratic government." The thrust becomes closer to "establishing a democracy" AFTER the invasion of March 03.
What could "liberty" and "freedom" mean other than some sort of democracy? Did you think "liberty" was code for "anarchy"? I don't see any meaningful distinction.
Also, there's still the "Iraq's liberation would be the beginning, not the end, of our commitment to its people" quote to contend with. And keep in mind these are just a handful of quotes dug up randomly. They're an example of what you can find with just a cursory overview. I'm quite confident that a more thorough look would yield hundreds more.
Originally Posted by Twain
I think less of hypocrisy. It's hypocrisy to align with a brutal dictator, help supply him with weapons, do nothing while he uses them and then become outraged 20 years later.
And what would you think of someone who aligned with that dictator, supplied him with weapons, did nothing while he used them, and
never became outraged?
Basically, you're complaining about the problem, but complaining more when the country responsible for it decides to actually do something meaningful about it. So which is it?
Moreover, the U.S. is not a singular entity. Most of the people involved in invading Iraq were not involved (or not as involved) in aligning with Hussein to begin with. We have different elected officials and even different voters, so who exactly is the hypocrite? Also, isn't the action either wise and unwise, or justified or unjustified, regardless of whether or not it's hypocritical for a specific person? It doesn't become a foolish decision -- or a wise one -- based on who's making it.
Originally Posted by Twain
There is suffering all over the world. Why Iraq? Why did Iraq open up our floodgates of compassion and prompt a desire to be its savior? Compassion is a wonderful thing but self interest is a stronger thing. I believe the invasion of Iraq was motivated by self interest, disguised as compassion and the whole thing backfired.
Pardon my bluntness, but I don't think you answered the question. What would you have done, if handed the same situation? Would you have left Hussein in power to continue to terrorize? Would you left sanctions in place, effectively starving the Iraqi people? Would you have lifted the sanctions and given Hussein the opportunity to rebuild his weapons program? Asking tough questions isn't a counter-argument, because they exist for all of the options the administration faced. If you say our course of action is wrong, that means you must believe there was a better one. What was it? Criticism like this is hollow if it doesn't come with an alternative.
Originally Posted by Twain
If there had been more honesty and less deception to begin with, it might never have happened.
What wouldn't have happened; the invasion, or the insurgency?
Originally Posted by Twain
I don't believe Bush plans to leave. Unless prior to the 06 or 08 elections, he hangs a Mission Accomplished sign in the oval office, declares victory and withdraws the troops. And shortly thereafter, there's full scale civil war in Iraq.
Why is it that Civil War in Iraq is considered a sign of absolute failure? If we all wrack our brains, maybe we can come up with a country that devolved into a bloody, crippling Civil War, but somehow emerged stable and prosperous. Is anyone here a history major?
Originally Posted by Twain
But I don't believe that will happen. I don't believe our reason for invasion was WMD or bringing democracy to Iraq. Our reason was a greater self interest than either of those. Whether it's strategic location, oil or making Iraq our easternmost state; this Administration isn't telling.
Ok, great. For the sake of argument, I'll accept this. So what? How does this translate into opposition for the invasion? The topic of discussion, I'd thought, was whether or not the war was justified, not whether or not America was behaving altruistically. Though even if that
were the topic, you're not offering much to support your claims about their motives other than wild conjecture.