President Trump

You don't need to bet money on something to make a prediction lol.

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Movies? Do we need 'em? NO!

Yup. But not this low/long, together. And none of them won reelection without rebounding. So you agree he needs to improve significantly to win?

Love the "supposedly." Sow those seeds of doubt at every opportunity.

This is backwards. It's easier to have a higher approval rating in the first year, not harder. It's amazing that it's this low, this fast. Even I didn't think this would happen.

...and he definitely wouldn't have been elected again.

No, but you do for your prediction to have any weight to it.

Hell, at least most pundits risk their reputation. You're an anonymous guy on the Internet who probably won't even be around if and when it turns out he's wrong. You risk nothing. Thus, no reason to listen to it or treat it as anything other than meaningless wishcasting.

Not quite accurate. Oldest President to enter office, but Reagan was older than him when his Presidency ended. And George H.W. Bush is still alive so that makes him the oldest President right now.

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I’m here only on Mondays, Wednesdays & Fridays. That’s why I’m here now.

According to that Gallup link at this point in Obama's presidency only 7% said they have no opinion. About 5% say they have no opinion according to the Trump one from the same site - http://www.gallup.com/poll/203198/pr...ald-trump.aspx

Not much difference there. He's also at 35% Approval and 60% disapproval according to that one.

I knew that, was only talking about oldest president to enter office. Figured everyone would know what i meant.

Okay, here are my exact predictions. Maybe it is wrong, but I KNOW that it isn't.
Donald Trump 100,089,034 votes
Some Commie Lefty 40,000,002

Good luck with that.

Not necessarily, he has huge support out there.

Love the "supposedly." Sow those seeds of doubt at every opportunity.


I don't know how the poll works, are you saying it's impervious to a bit of skewing the truth?


This is backwards. It's easier to have a higher approval rating in the first year, not harder. It's amazing that it's this low, this fast. Even I didn't think this would happen.

True, but events can change things. GW had immense support following 9/11.

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It will be in that area. I can't predict the exact vote but give or take a million, that prediction is correct.

LOL

Robert black you have my full support

I may not be an expert on politics. However, I am a heart surgeon who also does some work as a lawyer, so I am a pretty smart guy. With that said, I can ASSURE you that Donald Trump will not leave office until January 2025. As far as I'm concerned there is no further debate, it's a fact imo.

Why do you think that?

Well, admitting this is definitely a start.

A "bit"? No. But then, the arguments never work if you only assume it's a little bit off, or a little skewed. They only work if you think ALL the polls are WAY off, and have been for a very long time. That's not really plausible.

Huh? We were talking about his approval rating being historically low, and you implied it wasn't as bad because it was early in his term. I explained that that was backwards: that Presidents tend to enjoy higher ratings early on. I don't know how "events can change things" is a response to that.

"it's a fact imo" is a self-contradicting sentence. Nice job.

I'm trying to say it in a respectful way but if we're being honest I am 100% correct, no question. It is indeed a fact but people are still entitled to disagree with me. Although once again, I am a heart surgeon and a lawyer so that shows what a brilliant man I am.

Day off today?

Yep.

Wonder how they've managed without you.

I am a fantastic surgeon, that's true and ya know what...I am a brilliant mind so yes indeed I am a fantastic lawyer too, but my colleagues aren't so bad so me having a day off won't end the world lol.