Didn't see the special yet, but I recorded it.
Glad you read 'em. I love that feeling when you try to "test" a theory in your head, and in the middle of trying to find holes, it starts locking other things into place you weren't even thinking about. I keep thinking of new things it explains.
Anyway, regarding Kara...big news: Ron Moore's latest podcast has obliterated all our theories about her. Here's a quote someone transcribed for the SciFi.com boards:
"I should probably say as a side note, I know there's a tremendous amount of speculation out there in the internet that Kara is the daughter of Daniel, or that Daniel, Daniel being the Cylon model that was killed or destroyed or aborted or however you want to choose to define it, by Cavil, that there's a connection between Daniel and Kara and that's part of the revelations that we're going to reveal in the finale. I don't typically want to, like, put theories to rest because it kinda spoils the enjoyment and fun of people in the show. However I do think it's worth saying that that is not part of the plan. There is no connection between Kara and Daniel. And like I said I don't typically like to sort of quash rumors and theories because part of the fun of watching a series like this is coming up with your own theories and ideas. But in this particular case I don't want people to really be distracted through the finale by this other idea, which has gained a tremendous amount of currency on the internet and among fan circles. And that's probably my own fault because I don't think I realized the impact that the backstory of Daniel would have in No Exit, you know. I sort of thought that it was an interesting story about, that defined something about Brother Cavil, or John Cavil, and his backstory, and how he reacted to the threat of someone else being as beloved as he was. It was sort of a Cain and Abel type allegory. All those reasons, I thought it was an interesting piece of backstory. But in recent weeks I've realized that the cult of Daniel has grown, that there's a tremendous amount, there's a lot of people out there who are now investing a tremendous amount of time, energy and thought into the notion that Daniel is really a powerful figure in the show, and part of the mythos, and he's directly related to Kara. And, you know, I don't want anyone listening to this broadcast, podcast, I don't want you going into the finale having your Daniel hopes up too high, because that's really not part of the plan. And again I apologize if people think that was such a gigantic mislead or clue or something. That was not the intent. I don't think I anticipated how strongly that would be grabbed by people."
Wow. So much for that, then.
I don't know if I like this or not. On one hand, it's nice to know that, even if the primary theory posted earlier is correct (and really, it has to be, I think), there'll still be some surprises. On the other hand, having the Daniel/father/brother/Kara's a hybrid/whatever thing shot down makes it far more likely that the explanation we get will be mystical and unsatisfying.
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I'm very excited about the marathon on Friday. Kinda glad I'm unemployed, for that day at least. 
