The WGA Award is no help here for the Original Screenplay category as they named writer/director Bo Burnham and
Eighth Grade their winner. It did not get an Oscar nomination (though I damn well think it should have).
Vice is Adam McKay's second screenplay nom, having won with Charles Randolph for
The Big Short. He made the cut again here, but his Dick Cheney biopic/satire is not going to make him two-for-two. He seems to have left the pure comedies behind as his next project is an adaptation of the non-fiction best seller
Bad Blood: Secrets & Lies in a Silicon Valley Startup starring Jennifer Lawrence. Odds are he will be back at the Academy Awards.
Out of all the firsts and oddities in this year's nominations perhaps the biggest shocker was people realizing that Paul frickin' Schrader had NEVER been nominated for an Oscar. Not for
Taxi Driver, Raging Bull, or
The Last Temptation of Christ. Not for
Blue Collar, Mishima, or
Affliction. To say he was overdue is obvious. Just as obvious is the brilliance of
First Reformed. It should have gotten at least a Best Actor nod for Ethan Hawke too, but Schrader is now an Oscar nominee. Finally. I would LOVE to see him win, for
First Reformed and for being Paul frickin' Schrader. But if he does it'll be an upset.
Green Book is based a true story. How true depends on who you talk to: Dr. Don Shirley's family, who think it is a whitewashed (pun intended) fantasy that too undercuts the issues or Tony Vallelonga's family, who find it a stirring tribute. One of Vallelonga's sons, Nick, and one of Nick's acting pals Brian Currie co-wrote the screenplay. The film's director, Peter Farrelly is also credited. Peter Farrelly of the Farrelly Brothers (
There's Something About Mary, Dumb & Dumber, Kingpin). I know the people who like this movie REALLY like it, including some Academy voters, to be sure. Hollywood is a town that likes transformations and redemptions, so they may well give a former gross-out king an Oscar here for playing it straight. And that a son paid tribute to his dad, that may get some sentimental votes, too. Will it be enough to have
Green Book win Best Original Screenplay?
The Favourite belongs somewhat to a tradition of films that skew the costume drama in a darker direction. Oscar nominees
Dangerous Liaisons and
The Madness of King George, even Kubrick's
Barry Lyndon and the Best Picture winners the bawdy comedy
Tom Jones and artistic jealousy gone amuck in
Amadeus are subverting the historical costume pic. These tales of ladies and kings capable of depravity while wearing corsets and powdered wigs are in part a response to the likes of the very British
The Lion in Winter, Beckett,
Anne of the Thousand Days, and
A Man for All Seasons.
Australian writer Tony McNamara, best known for television programs Down Under, and first timer Deborah Davis, who had been developing the idea for decades, had a blast torturing Queen Anne and the two women who fought for her affection and power. When Yorgos Lanthimos came aboard the creepiness and uncomfortableness was pitched even higher. It is probably too dark and twisted to win Best Picture, but here in the screenplay categories the weirder stuff can actually triumph from time to time.
Get Out, Her, Django Unchained, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind, and
Talk to Her are some of the darker, unconventional scripts to win here in the past twenty years. Will
The Favourite get those votes from Academy admirers who won't vote for it as Picture and Director?
Roma is Alfonso Cuarón's third screenwriting nom. His first was in this category for
Y tu Mamá También and his second his adaptation of P.D. James'
Children of Men, shared with four other scribes. He won for neither. But he may well win here for his soulful reminiscence of pieces of his childhood in Mexico. He is the big favorite to win Best Director, and if he adds a screenplay Oscar to go with it he will become the 13th person to accomplish both for the same film: John Huston (
The Treasure of the Sierra Madre), Leo McCarey (
Going My Way), Joseph L. Mankiewicz (who did it twice, in back-to-back years for
A Letter to Three Wives and
All About Eve), Billy Wilder (who did it twice for
The Lost Weekend and
The Apartment), Francis Ford Coppola (
The Godfather Part II), Woody Allen (
Annie Hall), Robert Benton (
Kramer vs. Kramer), James L. Brooks (
Terms of Endearment), Bernardo Bertolucci (
Terms of Endearment), Joel & Ethan Coen (
No Country for Old Men), Peter Jackson (
Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King), and Cuarón's friend and countryman Alejandro González Iñárritu (
Birdman).
The voters may figure Best Director is enough of a reward for the triumph that is
Roma and spread the wealth around a bit. Or they may decide to crown him as a total filmmaker.
We are about to find out.