Early Awards Predictions

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The award season is almost upon us, and I thought why not start predicting who and what will be nominated for the top awards (Golden Globes, Oscars, SAG's...etc). I will add more predictions as the award season gets nearer. Feel free to share your predictions and thoughts

PICTURE
1917
The Irishman
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Just Mercy
Joker
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Hustlers
The Peanut Butter Falcon
The Farewell
Ad Astra
The Lighthouse
Marriage Story
Doctor Sleep

ACTOR
Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)
Eddie Murphy (Dolemite is My Name)
Michael B. Jordan (Just Mercy)
Ewan McGregor (Doctor Sleep)
Robert Pattinson (The Lighthouse)
Bill Nighy (Sometimes Always Never)
Brad Pitt (Ad Astra)
Adam Driver (Marriage Story OR The Report)


ACTRESS
Scarlet Johansson (Marriage Story)
Cynthia Erivo (Harriet)
Natalie Portman (Lucy in the Sky)
Charlize Theron (Bombshell)


SUPPORTING ACTOR
Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Al Pacino (The Irishman)
Joe Pesci (The Irishman)
Willem Dafoe (The Lighthouse)
John Lithgow (Bombshell)
Wesley Snipes (Dolemite Is My Name)
Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Margot Robbie (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Zazie Beetz (Joker)
Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Toy Story 4
Frozen 2
How to Train Your Dragon 2: The Hidden World
__________________
“Let me tell you something you already know. The world ain't all sunshine and rainbows. It's a very mean and nasty place and I don't care how tough you are, it will beat you to your knees and keep you there permanently if you let it. You, me, or nobody is gonna hit as hard as life. But it ain't about how hard ya hit. It's about how hard you can get hit and keep moving forward. How much you can take and keep moving forward. That's how winning is done!” ~ Rocky Balboa



How do you know that half of these will be good if they haven’t been released?



Hustlers????? Doctor Sleep????

Am I taking crazy pills???

I don't know about Doctor Sleep...but we're going to get some weird noms...

Awkafina (Farewell)
Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)
Antonio Bandareas (Pain and Glory)
Eddie Murphy (Dolemite is my Name)
Adam Sandler (Uncut Gems)


And male supporting might be while it's going to be between Defoe and Pitt you might have Hanks, Hopkins, and Pacino as the other three noms

Tom Hanks
Al Pacino
Brad Pitt
Anthony Hopkins
Willem Defoe


My early predictions...

Irishman (Picture)
Scorsese (Director)
Phoenix (Actor)
Johansson (Actress)
Pitt (S. Actor)
Lopez (S. Actress)
Tarantino (O. Screenplay)
Waititti (A. Screenplay)



Hustlers????? Doctor Sleep????

Am I taking crazy pills???
Believe it or not, Hustlers is getting raving reviews and J. Lo is getting serious Oscar buzz.

Doctor Sleep is just my prediction. The movie looks like Oscar bait.



Believe it or not, Hustlers is getting raving reviews and J. Lo is getting serious Oscar buzz.

Doctor Sleep is just my prediction. The movie looks like Oscar bait.

Hanks and Lopez are supporting not leads BTW



So why you want to wait for TIFF is we've got two more big contenders..


Rian Johnson's Knives Out





Which is 100% with 45 reviews in...I would not be shocked if Jamie Lee Curtis doesn't slip in with an Oscar nomination as the Academy passed her over during her glory years (Trading Places, Halloween, Fog, A Fish Called Wanda, Blue Steel, Road Games)




Bong Joon Hoo's Parasite





Bong might be the front runner for best director because as we know the academy hates giving the award to white dudes from America and if Johnson, Scorsese, and Tarantino are in the mix don't be shocked if we don't get a split.


Finally you've got Pain and Glory





Almodovar has never won for directing and if the Academy continues it's Latin Renaissance giving the GOAT his Oscar this year is very well possible.



Hustlers????? Doctor Sleep????

Am I taking crazy pills???
MojoFilter maybe basing nominations on PC/SJ (which is a good barometer). If that's true, it sounds like Hustlers will qualify in spades. It will be a dream film for the MeToo cabal. I'd more likely watch a poorly done stoner film than watch a female empowerment flick..

Doctor Sleep is due out in November. Nothing wrong with the cast. If it ties in with The Shining, it might be worth a consideration. If it's not too scary, Doc may have to break his horror blacklist to sample it..

~Doc



Welcome to the human race...
is the avatar meant to represent having a cooked brain or what
__________________
Iro is to reviews as Kubrick is to films.



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toront...s_Choice_Award


Jojo Rabbit won the audience award with Marriage Story and Parasite coming in 2nd and 3rd. So the inference here is that Taiki Waititi might end up the Bradley Cooper this year and register quite a few awards.


So my guess is on the nominees....

Best Picture
  • A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood (Heller)
  • The Irishman (Scorsese)
  • Jojo Rabbit (Waititi)
  • Knives Out (Johnson)
  • The Lighthouse (Eggers)
  • Marriage Story (Baumbach)
  • Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Tarantino)
  • Parasite (Joon-hoo)
Director
  • Almodovar (Pain and Glory)
  • Baumbach (Marriage Story)
  • Scorsese (Irishman)
  • Tarantino (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
  • Watiti (Jojo Rabbit)
Best Actor
  • Bandares (Pain and Glory)
  • Deniro (Irishman)
  • Driver (Marriage Story)
  • Egerton (Rocketman)
  • Phoenix (Joker)

Best Actress
  • Awkwafina (Farewell)
  • Ervino (Harriet)
  • Johannson (Marriage Story)
  • Ronan (Little Women)
  • Zellweger (Judy)

S. Actor
  • Brown (Waves)
  • Hanks (It's a....)
  • Pitt (Once Upon A Time..)
  • Pacino (Irishman)
  • Pesci (Irishman)
S. Actress
  • Dern (Marriage Story)
  • Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)
  • Lopez (Hustlers)
  • Robbie (Once Upon a Time)
  • Zhou (Farewell)

O. Screenplay
  • Almodovar (Pain and Glory)
  • Baumbach (Marriage Story)
  • Bong-Joon (Parasite)
  • Johnson (Knives Out)
  • Tarantino (Once Upon a Time...)
A. Screenplay
  • Gerwig/Polley (Little Women)
  • Micah Fitzerman-Blue Harpster (Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)
  • Phillips (Joker)
  • Watitit (Jojo Rabbit)
  • Zallian (The Irishman)

Animated
  • Abominable
  • How to Train Your Dragon III
  • Toy Story 4
  • Ne Zha
  • Weathering with You



I'd like to add Adam Sandler to the race for Best Actor in Uncut Gems. The buzz is on for the Happy Gilmore/Billy Madison star. If he is nominated, which seems highly likely at this point, I will be rooting for him.

https://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2019...ove-interview/



I'd like to add Adam Sandler to the race for Best Actor in Uncut Gems. The buzz is on for the Happy Gilmore/Billy Madison star. If he is nominated, which seems highly likely at this point, I will be rooting for him.

https://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2019...ove-interview/
Sandler is in a tricky spot, if this was a weaker year for males he might have a shot but the male lead field is somewhat deeper than normal.

Robert Deniro - for the Irishman (that's a lock)
Joaquin Phoenix - for the Joker (that's a lock)
Adam Driver - for Marraige story (that's a lock and he's likely the front runner)

So you've got two open spots

You have two British elderly actors in the mix Jonathan Pryce and Ian McKellen which don't forget Christian Bale so that's the UK voting block and that's pretty powerful.

You've got early blockbuster performances from Taron Egerton and Leonardo Dicaprio

And then you've got the minority contingent with Eddie Murphy (Dolemite is my name), Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory), and Kevin Harrison (Waves)