While all five are good performances, this is Colin Firth's to lose.
I don't really understand the still steady stream of disrespect for Jesse Eisenberg from so many sources, but for my money his nomination is well earned. I've liked him since
Roger Dodger and
The Squid and the Whale, and after his real breakout 2009 with
Adventureland and
Zombieland he finishes it off with the lead in a David Fincher movie that has become an awards favorite. He has little chance of winning an Oscar himself this year, but as the quiet, introspective center of
The Social Network he deserved a ticket to the show.
James Franco is charting new territory by being an Oscar nominee and host at the same time. His turn in
127 Hours is one of those gripping one-man shows like Tom Hanks in
Cast Away, only he had the extra challenge of being stationary most of the time. I first noticed Franco in
"Freaks and Geeks", and while he has an interesting and oddly varied resume an Oscar nomination didn't seem like it was coming anytime soon. But he is magnetic in Danny Boyle's movie. I wouldn't give him favorable odds to actually win it this year, but he certainly earned the nomination. But if somebody is going to upset the heavily favored Firth, Franco will be the dark horse to do it.
Javier Bardem was one of the few surprises nomination morning. Not because he isn't a good actor, but because Iñárritu's
Biutiful didn't have a lot of Oscar buzz coming in, and it was impossible to know if enough of the acting branch had watched their screeners or enough of them were in Cannes last May. This is Bardem's third nomination, his first being
Before Night Falls (losing to Russell Crowe in
Gladiator?!?) and the second bringing him the trophy for
No Country for Old Men. I haven't seen
Biutiful yet (opens here this Friday), but I have no doubt Bardem turns in quality work. But will it be
so outstanding that he'll become only the second Best Actor to win for a foreign language film (the first being Roberto Benigni in 1998)?
Jeff Bridges just won Best Actor last year for
Crazy Heart, and if he wins again he'll be just the third repeat Best Actor winner, joining Spencer Tracy (1938 and 1939) and Tom Hanks (1994 and 1995). Bridges' mumbling, growling, disheveled Rooster Cogburn is a lot of fun, but even though Wayne got his "career achievement" Oscar for playing the same character forty years ago, I don't get the feeling the Academy is going to go for Jeff again this time, not so soon. I love
True Grit and am glad Bridges got the nom, but I think that's the extent of the honor this year.
Colin Firth was nominated just last year for
A Single Man (his first career nom), a very good if very understated performance, and he ultimately lost out to Bridges. Looks like he'll return the favor this time. His work as King George VI battling his speech impediment on the eve of World War II is funny and touching and he gets to show off a bit. Firth is a very well-liked import, and
The King's Speech looks to be the right role at the right time for the fifty-year-old. He's won most every major award leading up to the Oscars, making him the heavy favorite, and if you bet against him you'll be betting against the house.