Oscar Favorite So Far?

Mid way through the year, what is your favorite for Oscar Best Picture so far?

Well you really are going by trailers at this point...if I were to guess on what the 7-9 nominees are it would be


Beautiful Boy (Felix Van Groeningen)
BlackkKlansman (Spike Lee)
Blindspotting (Carlos Estrada)
Eighth Grade (Bo Burnem)
The Favorite (Yorgos Lanthimos)
First Man (Damien Chazalle)
Isle of Dogs (Wes Anderson)
A Star is Born (Bradley Cooper)* favorite

Actor
Steve Carrell
Bradley Cooper
Daveed Diggs
Ryan Gosling
Rami Malek

Actress
Glen Close
Olivia Coleman
Elsie Fisher
Lady Gaga

Sup Actor
Timothee Chalamet
Dave Chappelle
Adam Driver
Michael B Jordan

Sup Actress
Kathy Bates
Vera Formiga
Claire Foy
Rachel Weitz

I would totally go for Lean on Pete, masterful A24 production. Although, seeing how pretty much nobody has seen it at this point, I'm sure it doesn't really have a shot.

I'd say the top 5 would look something like this right now:

1- If Beale Street Could Talk (Dir. Barry Jenkins)
2- First Man (Dir. Damien Chazelle)
3- BlackkKlansman (Dir. Spike Lee)
4- Beautiful Boy (Dir. Felix Van Goreningen)
5- Widows (Dir. Steve McQueen)

though it's a pretty wide open race since it's so early. 'Beale Street' would probably be my odds-on favorite to sweep through the awards though.

None.

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5-time MoFo Award winner.