Let's talk playoff scenarios:
A few weeks ago, the playoff picture looked pretty clear. Now it's a big ol' mess. Normally I caveat things by pointing out that someone isn't TECHNICALLY eliminated, but I'm not gonna do that this year. This year, if somebody isn't technically eliminated only because it's theoretically possible they outscore someone else by, like, 50-60 points, I'm going to count that as eliminated.
So, three teams have clinched playoff spots: me, Spaulding, and PW. Spaulding and I can both still take the #1 seed, but PW's point deficit precludes it. He can finish as high as second, but since I play the last-place Angry Gnomes in the finale, barring a big upset it's probably Spaulding and myself snagging the byes, and he's a slightly better bet to take the #1 seed, I'd say.
That leaves
six teams fighting for the last three playoff spots:
Every team but that first one is 6-6, and with five teams having identical records, point tiebreakers are going to be very important. Weirdly, none of those five are playing each other! The only thing close is that Spud faces donnie.
Speaking of Spud, the surprising Discount Chiefs are actually in the best position at 7-5. Lots of teams were in a much better position heading into this week, but I think all three of the other 6-5 teams lost in week 12, which is pretty incredible. His path now is wide open. Win and he's almost definitely in, but lose and he's in big trouble, because that point total is lower than every other bubble team.
@
Fabulous is going to win any points tiebreaker, so if he wins he's in, and there's a decent chance he's in if he loses. Though if that happens, he'd become just the second team in league history to make the playoffs with a losing record. @
Sedai is in a similar position, but he has the toughest matchup, going against the Censored Clowns.
This pileup makes it pretty much impossible to game out all the scenarios here, so I'll do my best to summarize:
In the Playoffs
Spaulding, me, PW.
Win and In
Spud, Fabulous, Sedai
Lose and Out
TONGO, maybe Spud, maybe 7thson
If I had to bet, I'd say the final three spots go to Sedai, Fabulous, and donnie, but I'm least sure of that last one, and none of the remaining teams would shock me.
Best of luck.