Box Office Prediction Quiz (Prizes awarded)

It's looking like Pirates of the Caribbean is going to open gangbusters; virtually every box office pundit, from Gitesh Pandya to Lee Tistaert, has it cruising past $100 million on its opening weekend. Reviews are mixed, though, and the flick'll be fairly front-loaded, so I still don't see it busting into the Top Ten, or really running away with any long-term marks. Should open ridiculously strong, though, and at this point it's hard to imagine any other film grossing more over the summer. So, unless it experiences an X-Men-3-esque dropoff, I'm thinking anyone who had it at #1 overall is going to end up being right.

Me thinking something is going to make a heap is the surest sign it's going to fall on it's face, so I stayed out of this. Great idea though, 7th!

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Review: Cabin in the Woods 8/10

Yeah seems POTC cant really miss, that is unless Snakes on a Ladder beats it.

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“The gladdest moment in human life, methinks, is a departure into unknown lands.” – Sir Richard Burton

Early Friday tallies have POTC2 at a whopping $55 million for Friday; a record by an incredible $5 million. This is probably a good $7-8 million than even the more optimistic forecasts had it at.

It'll certainly suffer some sort of dropoff in the next couple of days, but it looks like we have a new opening weekend champion.

It's at least an opening-day champion. Here's a quote from Greg Risling (AP):

"Move over Darth Vader. Captain Jack Sparrow is king for a day. Preliminary estimates released by Disney show that 'Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest' earned $55.5 million on Friday, which would set the record for the largest one-day take at the box office. The previous record was set last year by 'Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith,' which grossed about $50 million.

Yowza. Maybe I'll make an effort to see it when there are still big crowds going. I love going to movies with good-sized audiences. And if this one tanks fast, I won't get the opportunity after this weekend!

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It's just nuts. $132 million in the first weekend, despite the lackluster reviews. Nuts, I tell ya.

Now I want to see it, just to say I did.

I personally think that a lot to do with the records this film is breaking has to do with the timing. It was perfect in my opinion. I have yet to see it, but I am going to next weekend I think. The movie-going audience was bloodthirtsy for an all around family/action film. This fits the bill I am sure. I look forward to watching it with my family.

I think you're precisely right. Lack of any real competition, right smack in the middle of the summer blahs. Just the right amount of hype and marketing, really good trailers that played up what people liked about the first movie, etc.

i expected something close to 100 mil like 96 or something like that but 130+ i mean this is crazy poor Man of Steel took a bealing like a little kid

and the reviews weren't exactly lackluster they were accually 50-50
but still when it comes to blockbusters reviews rarely come into play

i mean SR got great reviews and got bad word of mouth and poor reaction from fans

x-men movies got bad reviews except for the 3rd one and they did good in box office

and i seen MI:3 which got good reviews and did poor in box office

in most cases the reviews dont really affect the BO result

True enough on fans thumbing their proverbial noses at critics.

By "lackluster" I meant the overall sum-total of reviews averaged out ... which, frankly, for the amount of hype and money spent, were lackluster. In school, a 50% average was failing.

Hey 7thson. Who ended up winning this and the dvds? August has long since been over.

I will have results up in a week or so. Some films are still making money, although not enough to make much of a difference...so yeah give me a few days and we will see who wins. Thanks.

I am currently working on finalizing this. Unless he returns my pm's soon I am going to exclude Tim, he has not posted here recently and he has very few posts anyway. But if he responds soon I will include his answers. Thanks.

Okay here are the results I have:

1. What movie will be the highest grossing film during this time frame? (2 points)

Answer: Pirates of the Caribbean: DMC

Holden=Superman Returns
Escape= The Davinci Code
7thson= Pirates of the Caribbean: DMC

7thson: 2 points

2. How much will the above film gross? (3 points)

Answer: Pirates of the Caribbean: DMC with 421 million

Holden=375 millionEscape=360 million
7thson=350 million


Holden: 3 points


3. What will be the highest grossing "r" rated film? (2 points)

Answer: Miami Vice with 63 million(no pick for the 2nd place r rated film The Omen 2006 coming in at 54 million)

Holden= Clerks II or if Miami Vice is R then it will win.
Escape=Snakes on a Plane
Tim=Snakes on a Plane
7thson=Miami Vice

Holden: 2 points

7thson: 2 points


4. List the top 5 grossing films. (2 points for each properly placed film)

Answer:

• Pirates of the Caribbean: DMC
• Cars
• Xmen Last Stand
• The Da vinci Code
• Superman returns
  
  Holden= 1. Superman Returns
• 2. Over the Hedge
• 3. Pirates of the Caribbean: The Dead Man's Chest
  4. Barnyard
• 5. The Da vinci Code
  Escape=
  1. The Da vinci Code

2. Pirates of the Caribbean: The Dead Man's Chest
3. Superman Returns
4. X-Men 3: The Last Stand
5. Mission Impossible III

7thson=
1. Pirates of the Carribean: The Dead Man's Chest
2. Superman Returns
3. The Davinci Code
4. Over the Hedge
5. Mission Impossible



7thson: 2 Points

5. Yes or No: Will any film break the top ten all time list?(1 point)



Answer: Yes ~ POTC: DMC



Holden= No

Escape= No

7thson=No




No Points Awarded

6. Which film will gross the highest over budget (most profitable) (3 points)



Holden= Click

Escape=The Break-Up

7thson= Zoom



Answer: The Da Vinci Code with 3.2 times its cost (POTC came in at 3.1 times)

The answer to this question was taken from information on IMDB, some films I could not get production budgets for; if anyone has proof of a different film here please let me know.



No Points awarded



7. List the total dollar amount of the top three grossing films. (3 points)

Answer: 900.004 million

Holden=

950 million



Escape=

950 million



7thson=

910 million


7thson: 2 points

8. Which film will flop the most, lowest profit vs budget (2 points)
Answer: Poseidon


Holden= Poseidon
Escape= Poseidon
7thson= Poseidon

Holden: 2 points

Escape: 2 points

7thson: 2 points


9. What will be the highest grossing film for the following months: May, June, July, August (2 points for each right answer)

Answer:

May: The Da Vinci Code

June: Cars

July: POTC: DMC

Aug: Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby

Holden=
May: The Da Vinci Code
June: X-Men: The Last Stand
July: Superman Returns
August: The Ant Bully


Escape=
May: Mission Impossible 3
June: The Omen 666
July: Superman Returns
Aug: Miami Vice


7thson:
May: The Di Vinici Code
June: X-Men
July: Superman returns
Aug: Snakes on a Plane



Holden: 2 points

7thson: 2 points

10. What film will have the biggest opening day total? (2 points)

Answer: Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Holden= Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Escape: Superman Returns
7thson= Pirates of the Caribbean: Dean Man's Chest



Holden: 2 points

7thson: 2 points



11. How much will the above film gross on opening day? (3 points)



Answer: $55,830


Holden= $91-million
Escape= $40 million
7thson= 85 million



Escape: 2 points


Bonus Question:
List the top ten films of this time frame based on gross dollar amount along with what you think the total will be. You do not have to get them in the right order to win this question the closest overall player will get 5 bonus points.

Answer:

• Pirates of the Caribbean: The Dead Man’s Chest, 421 million
• Cars, 244 million
• X-Men: The Last Stand, 234 million
• The Da Vinci Code, 217 million
• Superman Returns, 200 million
• Over the Hedge, 155 million
• Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby, 148 million
• Click, 137 million
• Mission: Impossible III, 133 million
• The Devil Wears Prada

Holden=
1. Superman Returns, $375-million
2. Over the Hedge, $290-million
3. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest, $285-million
4. Barnyard, $240-million
5. The Da Vinci Code, $215-million
6. X-Men: The Last Stand, $205-million
7. Mission: Impossible III, $200-million*
8. Cars, $195-million
9. Click, $165-million
10. Monster House, $135-million


Escape=
1. Superman Returns (280 million)
2. The Da Vinci Code (290 million)
3. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (280 million)
4. X-Men 3: The Last Stand (170 million)
5. Mission Impossible 3 (220 million)
6. Snakes on a Plane(80 million)
7. Miami Vice (90 million)
8. The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift (65 million)
9. The Omen:666 (80 million)
10. MI:III (270 million)


7thson=
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (350 million)
2. Superman returns (315 millon)
3. The Da Vinci Code (296 million)
4. X-Men 3: The Last Stand (206 million)
5. Over the Hedge (200 million)
6. Mission Impossible III (195 million)
7. Cars (175 million)
8. Lady in the Water (138 million)
9. Snakes on a Plane (106 million)
10. Miami Vice (99 million)

Holden: 5 points




Total Score:

Holden: 16 points ~ Winner

7thson: 14 points

Escape: 4 points



Sorry this has taken me so long to post the results. I certainly may have made some mistakes so if you see any please let me know and I will correct them. The bonus question was based on the simple fact that out of the top ten films Holden got 8, I got 7 and Escape got 6 of the films included on the list. I got the only exact match with number one and Holden got a few near misses. Thanks all for playing, it was an interesting Summer at the box office.

Wow I did absolutely horrible there. Thanks anyways for giving me a shot 7thson.

Hey Holden you are lucky winner, tell me where you want the dvds sent, If not interested let me know and I will send them to Escape. Thanks.

I have all three of those DVDs and don't need extra copies. You can give them to somebody else.

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"Film is a disease. When it infects your bloodstream it takes over as the number one hormone. It bosses the enzymes, directs the pineal gland, plays Iago to your psyche. As with heroin, the antidote to Film is more Film." - Frank Capra

Ok.

Escape you interested just let me know.

I own one so if I would want any it would be the Layer Cake and the Capote dvd.

I want to try this again, but only if a decent amount of you interested? Like at least 5 of you guys/gals?