Warner Bros. Movie Heads Are Burning Cash, Their Boss Has Had It

Tools    





Things really seem to be going from bad to worse over at WB after a string of expensive flops. Will Superman turn things around?



[quote]Shortly after Joker: Folie à Deux opened in October, Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. Chief Executive Officer David Zaslav summoned the co-leads of his movie studio to company headquarters in New York. The sequel to the 2019 smash hit Joker had been a critical and commercial disaster, grossing just $208 million, about one-fifth what the original took in—despite costing nearly four times as much to make.

In a closed-door meeting, Zaslav railed against the performance of the film, which studio heads Michael De Luca and Pamela Abdy had supervised from start to finish after joining Warner Bros. in 2022. Zaslav also decried the mounting costs of the studio’s upcoming releases, according to people familiar with the matter who weren’t authorized to speak publicly. A spokesperson for Warner Bros. disputed this characterization, calling the meeting “a straightforward Joker 2 postmortem and a constructive conversation on the slate.”

De Luca and Abdy—or Mike and Pam, as they’re known in Hollywood—are about to release a 2025 lineup that leans on more expensive films with uncertain box-office prospects, starting with Mickey 17, from award-winning filmmaker Bong Joon-ho, on March 7. Box Office Pro forecasts the movie, a science fiction comedy that cost more than $100 million to produce, will deliver an opening weekend of no more than $20 million in the US and Canada, suggesting it will have a hard time making enough to earn a profit. De Luca’s and Abdy’s contracts, which pay them more than $10 million a year each including bonuses, are due to expire in 2026, according to several people at the company as well as people who conduct major business with the film group.

The movie studio’s struggles have been a drag on earnings at parent company Warner Bros. Discovery, which has lost more than half its market value since Discovery and WarnerMedia merged in a $43 billion deal in 2022. On a quarterly conference call in November, Zaslav conceded that “even in an industry of hits and misses, we must acknowledge that our studio’s business must deliver more consistency.” Profit at the division that includes the motion picture group is expected to be down by about a third when the company reports its annual results on Feb. 27, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

“Clearly the focus needs to be on the returns and how the film studio is going to make more money going forward,” says Robert Fishman, an analyst at MoffettNathanson, a media and entertainment investment research firm. Shareholders are eager to see better performance from the motion picture group, which will help stabilize earnings and pay down debt the company took on to merge and create Warner Bros. Discovery, Fishman says.

When Zaslav hired De Luca and Abdy to turn around Warner Bros., formerly one of the most stable and profitable studios in Hollywood, the division was lagging behind Walt Disney Co., Comcast Corp.’s Universal and other rivals. Its recent movies based on DC Comics had struggled to compete with the more successful titles from Disney’s Marvel Studios. Warner Bros. had also just lost marquee filmmaker Christopher Nolan, the director of Oppenheimer, who effectively ended a 20-year relationship with the studio in 2021 when it decided to simultaneously release its pictures in theaters and on its nascent streaming app.

By bringing in De Luca and Abdy, who most recently ran Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer, the James Bond studio, Zaslav hoped to leverage their excellent relationships with talent to make blockbusters. True to form, the pair has signed production and development deals with megastars including Tom Cruise, Timothée Chalamet and Margot Robbie, as well as horror director M. Night Shyamalan. In addition to deep relationships with talent, the co-executives brought a history of award-show wins to the studio: Abdy previously worked at the independent producer New Regency when it won Oscars for 12 Years a Slave and The Revenant, while De Luca’s producer work has been nominated for best picture three times, for The Social Network, Moneyball and Captain Phillips.

Movie buffs—including Zaslav, a 65-year-old former cable television executive enamored with Hollywood who says Moneyball is one of his favorite pictures—love award-winning dramas by auteur directors. But today’s most successful studios overwhelmingly rely on films based on existing intellectual property that can produce sequels, consumer products, spinoff TV series and video games. The 10 highest-grossing movies released domestically in 2024 were all in some way tied to previous films or popular brands. Greta Gerwig’s Barbie, green-lit years before De Luca and Abdy joined the studio, became the highest-grossing picture in Warner Bros. history after its release in 2023.

At Warner Bros., De Luca and Abdy have continued to put a lot of faith and money in acclaimed directors making original—if not obviously commercial—projects. Following a bidding war, they spent at least $130 million on One Battle After Another, a movie directed by Paul Thomas Anderson, known for Boogie Nights and Phantom Thread. They justified the budget because of the casting of Leonardo DiCaprio, forecasting it could gross $180 million in the US and Canada alone, according to people familiar with the matter. The director’s highest-grossing film to date, There Will Be Blood, was made on a budget of $25 million and generated global ticket sales of $76 million upon its release in 2007. To secure an original idea from Black Panther director Ryan Coogler, De Luca and Abdy committed $75 million and agreed to give the rights back to Coogler after 25 years. The budget has since eclipsed $90 million. On some projects, they agreed to pay directors an immediate share of cinema ticket sales before a film made a profit.

To be sure, many of Warner Bros.’ recent failures predated De Luca and Abdy. DC films such as The Flash and Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom were developed under their predecessor, Toby Emmerich. But the same goes for some of its biggest hits, which include Barbie and Dune: Part Two.

The spending decisions at the studio, described by some employees as indicating a lack of fiscal discipline, are especially poignant given the company has eliminated thousands of positions across multiple units since the merger. Morale at the film group is especially low after a third round of cuts. The company spokesperson denied that there have been any clashes and said that “Mike and Pam are aligned on budget priorities” with Zaslav and Chief Financial Officer Gunnar Wiedenfels. Since joining, De Luca and Abdy have lowered the average net production cost of Warner Bros. films from $168 million to $106 million, the company added.

The slate De Luca and Abdy developed over the next two years also includes some franchise fare, including films in the worlds of Final Destination, Mortal Kombat and The Cat in the Hat. “Like most major studios, WB is building a slate with tentpoles, IP-driven films and franchise sequels,” the company’s representative said. And several directors, screenwriters and cinephile executives in Hollywood are rooting for the studio’s original film bets to succeed, even if those same executives have been baffled by the movies’ costs.

Following the poor performance of the studio last year, two of the pair’s most senior deputies were pushed out in January: marketing chief Josh Goldstine and International Distribution President Andrew Cripps. (Goldstine’s contract had been renewed in 2024, while Cripps’ was up later this year.) Both were in the middle of planning for the release of the studio’s biggest titles in 2025, which include an adaptation of the video game Minecraft and F1, which Warner Bros. will distribute in cinemas for Apple Inc.

The producers of F1 originally chose Warner Bros. over rivals in part because of Goldstine’s success marketing Barbie. Goldstine and Cripps were also working on July’s Superman from DC Studios—a separate subsidiary that makes movies and TV shows based on comic-book characters and shares marketing and distribution staff with De Luca and Abdy’s film unit. James Gunn and Peter Safran, who lead DC, found out that Goldstine and Cripps would no longer be managing Superman’s release less than 24 hours before the firings, according to people familiar with the matter. When asked at a media event in February whether Goldstine’s ouster had been disruptive, Safran answered: “It was a decision that Mike and Pam felt was for the best.”

Meanwhile, De Luca and Abdy are racing to quell any perception that their spending has imperiled Warner Bros. Discovery’s earnings, in part by hiring a chief business officer for the first time. The pair brought in Ted Lim from Amazon MGM Studios, giving him a mandate to help “optimize internal processes” and make sure the group’s moves are aligned with Warner Bros. Discovery’s long-term corporate objectives, according to a memo De Luca and Abdy sent at the time of his hiring.

“Ted will collaborate with each division to ensure each Warner Bros. Pictures release reaches the widest possible audience beyond its theatrical window,” they wrote. Or, in other words, he will be doing his best to make sure enough people actually see the films De Luca and Abdy have backed.



WB continues drowning in a sea of red ink...


“Mickey 17,” Bong Joon Ho’s wacky sci-fi satire, is shaping up to be a major money loser for Warner Bros. following its rocky box office reception.

The film, which stars Robert Pattinson as a clone who works menial jobs in a futuristic dystopia, will likely lose between $75 million to $80 million during its theatrical run, according to three sources with knowledge of the economics of movies on this scale. A source close to the film disputes those estimates, saying the true losses are “significantly less.”

After two weeks of release, “Mickey 17” has earned $35.7 million domestically and $92.2 million worldwide. The film was projected to end its theatrical run with $175 million to $180 million worldwide — including $52 million domestically and $123 million internationally. But those estimates were recently revised down to $143 million worldwide — including $46 domestically and $97 million internationally. “Mickey 17’s” breakeven point is roughly $300 million. Most movies don’t earn a profit purely from their theatrical release; getting into the black typically comes after they have been licensed to TV and streamers and have been made available on demand. However, box office dollars dictate those downstream deals, and “Mickey 17” will hit home entertainment platforms in the red.

“Mickey 17” was produced for $118 million after factoring in tax rebates — a high price for an original, offbeat space odyssey. Warner Bros. spent another $80 million on marketing, including a $4 million spot during the AFC championship. Sources believe the studio scaled back some of the promotional efforts in the days leading up to the theatrical release, potentially salvaging millions of dollars in the process.

Reviews have been positive, with critics praising “Mickey 17” as visually inventive and narratively bold. The movie, which was greenlit months before the hiring of current studio chiefs Mike De Lua and Pam Abdy, coincided with a career high-point for Bong. His prior film, 2019’s pitch black comedy “Parasite,” swept at the Oscars, earning best picture in addition to scoring box office riches. But original films — even those with acclaimed directors like Bong and A-list talent like Pattinson, the star of blockbuster franchises like “Twilight” and “The Batman” — often struggle at the box office. Moviegoers were mixed (“Mickey 17” landed a “B” grade on CinemaScore exit polls), which didn’t help the film’s word of mouth.

“Mickey 17” is one of several swings for the fence that Warner Bros. is making this year. Over the weekend, the studio will release Robert De Niro’s mob drama “Alto Knights,” which is projected to bomb with $2 million to $3 million to start against a $45 million budget. Warner Bros. will also debut Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another,” which cost $130 million and stars Leonardo DiCaprio. Other spring and summer offerings, such as “A Minecraft Movie,” James Gunn’s “Superman” and Ryan Coogler’s vampire thriller “Sinners,” starring Michael B. Jordan, seem like safer propositions, at least commercially. Earlier this week, Warner Bros. shifted around release dates for titles including Maggie Gyllenhaal’s $80 million “Frankenstein” spinoff “The Bride!” (now set for 2026).

So far, overall box office grosses in 2025 have been grim as other original films like Paramount’s action comedy “Novocaine” and Focus Features’ spy thriller “Black Bag” are similarly struggling to draw sizable crowds, while franchise fare like Disney’s “Captain America: Brave New World” and Sony’s “Paddington in Peru” aren’t living up to the heights of their predecessors. Year-to-date revenues, as a result, are 5% behind 2024 and nearly 38% behind 2019, according to Comscore. Will the smattering of upcoming blockbuster-hopefuls, such as “A Minecraft Movie,” “Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning,” “Jurassic World Rebirth,” “Lilo & Stitch” and the “How to Train Your Dragon” remake, help to reverse course for theaters — and maybe even turn a profit for their respective studios?



It's sad, but the bombs from WB keep coming...


“The Alto Knights,” a crime thriller starring dueling Robert De Niros, made moviegoers an offer they easily refused.

The Warner Bros. film was D.O.A. over the weekend with $3.2 million at the domestic box office, one of the worst-ever starts for a major studio release. “The Alto Knights” also cratered overseas, earning $1.8 million for a bleak worldwide tally of $5.1 million. With a price tag above $45 million before marketing is taken into account, “The Alto Knights” is already one of the year’s biggest misfires.

Box office watchers, however, aren’t exactly scratching their heads to figure out what went wrong. They believe “The Alto Knights” hails from a genre — mobster movies — that’s been sleeping with the fishes for decades. Then critics rebuked the film, which landed a poor 37% on Rotten Tomatoes. Audiences, at least the few people who checked the film out, were kinder, giving it a “B” grade on CinemaScore exit polls. Still, those mixed scores don’t bode well for word-of-mouth.

“This kind of crime story has been out of style for years now,” says David A. Gross, who runs the FranchiseRe movie consulting firm. “Current soft theatrical market conditions are not going to help it.”

Directed by “Wag the Dog” and “Rain Man” filmmaker Barry Levinson and adapted by Nicholas Pileggi — best known for his work as a writer or producer on “Goodfellas,” “Casino” and “The Irishman” — the movie follows De Niro as Frank Costello and Vito Genovese, childhood friends who became two of New York’s most notorious organized crime bosses.

For a film like “The Alto Knights,” which already faces strong headwinds in this theatrical landscape, to have a shot at success, it needs rave reviews or potential awards chatter. Critics weren’t on board, though, with several calling the choice to have De Niro star opposite himself was unnecessarily confusing. The Washington Post’s Michael O’Sullivan described the stunt as “not just unnecessary, it’s supremely distracting.” (“It invites the question: Why?” he wrote in his review) and The New Yorker’s Justin Chang simply referred to the double casting as an “odd gimmick.”

It’s not like gangster movies were all the rage when Warner Bros. Discovery CEO David Zaslav greenlit the film in 2022. His decision to grant the film a $45 million budget and theatrical release had prompted a few raised eyebrows on the studio lot at the time. Levinson, who began working on “The Alto Knights” (formerly titled “Wise Guys”) with Pileggi and producer Irwin Winkler before the pandemic, told Variety that Pileggi’s relationship with Zaslav had paved the way for the project to get made.

“Zaslav has known Nick, and somehow in a conversation [the film] came up, and Zaslav was intrigued by it,” Levinson said in an interview prior to the movie’s release. “That was sort of how it all came together.”

The studio also thought “The Alto Knights” could be another entry in De Niro’s pantheon of much-loved gangster films, several of which (like “Goodfellas” and “Mean Streets”) were produced by Warner Bros. For De Niro, “The Alto Knights” represented a return to the genre that made him a star. The 81-year-old became an enduring A-lister after classic Mafia movies like “The Godfather Part II,” “The Untouchables,” “Casino” and “Goodfellas.” He’s even parodied his deep association with Cosa Nostra cinema in the “Analyze This” films.

Yet it’s a type of film that’s 30 years past its sell-by date. Even Martin Scorsese’s starry “Killers of the Flower Moon,” a Western crime drama about the 1920 Oklahoma murders in the Osage Nation, struggled at the box office against a $200 million budget. And Leonardo DiCaprio starred in that film, which was nominated for several Oscars, alongside De Niro. Meanwhile Levinson’s filmography over the past quarter-century has included such commercial misfires as 2015’s comedy “Rock the Kasbah,” 2014’s drama “The Humbling,” 2012’s horror mockumentary “The Bay” and 2006’s political comedy “Man of the Year.” The Oscar winner’s last significant theatrical hit was 1997’s “Wag the Dog,” which grossed $65 million against a $15 million budget.

“‘Alto Knights’ is a film of a bygone Hollywood era. The director and star are no longer box office draws,” says Exhibitor Relations analyst Jeff Bock. “Warner Bros. didn’t do them any favors as they barely advertised the film. When a film doesn’t have major studio support in this marketplace, it’s bombs away at the box office.”

So who went to see “Alto Knights” in its opening weekend? Apparently, older white men and Canadians. According to exit polls, 60% of moviegoers were male and 60% were Caucasian (comparatively, 27% were Hispanic, 7% were Black, 3% were Asian and 3% were Native American). Nearly 90% were above the age of 25. Meanwhile three of the top four highest-grossing locations — Cineplex Queensway Toronto, Cineplex Winston Churchill Toronto, Cineplex Laval Montreal — were from America’s Neighbors to the North. New York City and Los Angeles typically have the top-earning theaters in North America.

“Seems like Canadians turned out for an adult drama, something that is unfortunately becoming more and more of a rarity in the North American marketplace,” Bock said.

“The Alto Knights” is the second consecutive theatrical misfire for Warner Bros. after Bong Joon Ho’s big budget sci-fi comedy “Mickey 17.” Coincidentally, both films feature a lead actor named Robert who plays multiple parts in the same movie. (In “Mickey 17,” Robert Pattinson portrays disposable employee whose body is able to regenerate for science.) In three weeks of release, “Mickey 17” has earned $40 million domestically and $110 million worldwide. It’s a respectable tally for the original swing, except that the film cost $118 million to produce. Since “Mickey 17” needed to earn more like $275 million to $300 million to break even, it’s now projected to lose $75 million to $80 million in its big screen run.

The studio’s fortunes should rebound in April with “A Minecraft Movie,” a Jack Black-led film adaptation of the popular video game that’s tracking for a decent opening weekend. And later in the year, there’s James Gunn’s “Superman” as well as follow-ups to “Mortal Kombat,” “Final Destination” and “The Conjuring.” Yet Warner Bros. has several other big swings on the calendar, including Paul Thomas Anderson’s $140 million “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s $90 million vampire thriller “Sinners.”

In the interview before the debut of “The Alto Knights,” Levinson seemed sanguine about the volatility of the movie industry, which he’s been involved with for decades.

“There are a lot of obstacles in this business, and you just have to navigate it as best you can,” Levinson told Variety. “But there are the moments when you say, ‘Look, I’ve been able to do a lot of stories that interested me, and I was able to work with a lot of actors that I had a great, great working relationship with.’ The downside is the downside. But that comes with the territory.”