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Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
2 months to fully recover lung capacity from the...

2 months to fully recover lung capacity from the flu? I got the flu every year when I was a teenager, maybe the explains why my endurance to long-distance running is so low.
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
On average it is estimated to be about 6-7 times...

On average it is estimated to be about 6-7 times more mortal than the flu. But it depends a lot on the age and underlying health of the person who gets it:
...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
The countries with the highest mortality rates in...

The countries with the highest mortality rates in proportion to the population are Ecuador and Peru which are tropical countries without season, The hardest-hit parts of Ecuador, in particular, are...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
What? Zero likes and I am a COVID-19 SURVIVOR!...

What? Zero likes and I am a COVID-19 SURVIVOR! :mad:
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Re: Coronavirus

I tested positive for Covid in a antibodies test. I actually remember I had a weird cold in late April when I lost my sense of smell for a few days. Overall, the flu was a worse experience for me...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
I didn't mean every island country would be able...

I didn't mean every island country would be able to supress the virus, I mean that only island countries could supress the virus. Also, currently Brazil is number 2 in cases and Russia is number 3.
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
I read that in samples of people from South Korea...

I read that in samples of people from South Korea that appears to be the case. We are not 100% sure because we don't know how only it lasts given that the virus only got into humans 6 months ago.
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Continental countries that share land borders...

Continental countries that share land borders with other countries have a hard time suppressing the virus because someone infected can just cross the border, which they can do even if borders are...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Economists are debating a lot if it is worth of...

Economists are debating a lot if it is worth of the costs of shutting down a lot of business to reduce the spread of the epidemic. So far it appears to be the case.
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
This: ...

This:

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf

They say:

"In the (unlikely) absence of any...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Simulations show that deaths in the US would be...

Simulations show that deaths in the US would be around 2,000,000 without any measures, with deaths per day peaking at 45,000 per day.

For comparison, we also know that in certain parts of the...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Death rates averaged over the week in several...

Death rates averaged over the week in several countries appear to indicate that the pandemic has peaked or passed through the peak in many countries (edit: US and UK appear to be at the peak right...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
An update: Coronavirus Cases: 757,636 ...

An update:

Coronavirus Cases:
757,636

Deaths:
40,223, R.I.P.

Recovered:
69,171
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Re: Coronavirus

I guess if they wore masks and went quickly it would be safer.
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Re: Coronavirus

In Brazil, deaths have been escalating brutally. Poor countries don't have the resources to accurately measure how many people die, even rich countries like Italy and Spain had so many deaths that...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Merkel's speech is also very good: ...

Merkel's speech is also very good:

https://youtu.be/F9ei40nxKDc
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
I am more optimistic now: In 3-4 months this...

I am more optimistic now: In 3-4 months this epidemic will definitely be in the past.

I think that it is more probable that herd immunity will be achieved soon in most Western countries so there...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
But only if a second wave does not occur after...

But only if a second wave does not occur after lockdown is lifted.
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Try wearing a mask, even a home made one: ...

Try wearing a mask, even a home made one:

https://smartairfilters.com/en/blog/best-materials-make-diy-face-mask-virus/

it certainly helps. Even if you catch it, if you reduce the "dose" of the...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/...

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-Global-Impact-26-03-2020v2.pdf



However, they don't try to estimate the increase in...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
The world has about 7.5 billion people. The...

The world has about 7.5 billion people. The coronavirus is expected to infect something like 50 or 75% of the population of Germany, UK, US, if it is not suppressed. Its mortality rate is about 1% if...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
There can be 3 outcomes: 1. The virus is...

There can be 3 outcomes:

1. The virus is sucessfully supressed, this has to happen now (over the next few weeks) or never.
2. The virus is not supressed, in this case millions around the world...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
I think that in Brazil's case we should adopt the...

I think that in Brazil's case we should adopt the British approach: quarantine the old and allow the young to catch the virus and create herd imunity. It's perhaps the only option we have since we...
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Indeed. Just got myself locked up at home...

Indeed. Just got myself locked up at home awaiting for the Apocalypse.
Replies: 3,585
Coronavirus
Posted By Guaporense
Every year about 50 to 60 million people die. ...

Every year about 50 to 60 million people die.

Coronavirus is different because it is a new disease that could theoretically be contained but was not. Also, it kills about 2% of infected people,...